Saturday 30 May 2009

French Open 3rd Round matches, Saturday

Can I make a profit on Saturday?

Tommy HAAS v Jeremy CHARDY Lay Chardy 3-0 @ 3.6
Chardy is at odds which would suggest he has a good chance of winning this, particularly when supported by the stats, but Haas has the experience and I can't see quarter-finals full of Frenchmen either. Chardy has his toughest match yet and I suspect if he does win it won't be easy.

Andy RODDICK v Marc GICQUEL Gicquel WIN @ 5.0
Roddick's poor record at Roland Garros is likely to return to hit him today. He's had reasonably easy wins so far against limited opponents. Gicquel is far from that, and is a superb price to defeat Roddick. This price cannot be bet against. Gicquel to win @ 5.0.

Tommy ROBREDO v Maximo GONZALEZ Gonzalez WIN @ 4.7
Maximo Gonzalez is definitely becoming a dark horse in this tournament, and indeed it is a tournament in which unheralded South American players have made the big time. Yet he is against Robredo who has won his matches easily so far, and hence this bet should be decided on with some caution. The stats suggest one or two favourites between 1.11 and 1.29 should lose in this round and none have yet. Gonzalez to win @ 4.7.

Christophe ROCHUS v Jo-Wilfried TSONGA Rochus WIN @ 8.6
Another player whose odds are wrongly priced is Tsonga. Look at his clay court form against that of Rochus and you'll see they are almost equally matched. Rochus has beaten some great players this week and Tsonga has just edged his way through to this stage. Rochus to win.

Juan Martin DEL POTRO v Igor ANDREEV Del Potro WIN @ 1.1
Del Potro is the riskiest favourite of the day, but I shall back him to win this. He has a winning record against Andreev and is in such form that a stuttering Andreev won't have many chances against him. It may even be 3-0, but a Del Potro win is on the cards.

Novak DJOKOVIC v Philipp KOHLSCHREIBER Djokovic WIN @ 1.06
Djokovic is in the safe zone and Kohlschreiber will not have any chance to win this. Added to the fact that his serve is simply not good enough against a player like Djokovic, he is likely to be outrallied too. However, the warm conditions will not favour Djokovic and he may need to win quickly.

Jurgen MELZER v Gael MONFILS Lay Monfils 3-0 @ 2.92
Melzer would be a potential winner of this if it wasn't for Monfil's form which going into this match has been excellent. He seems to take to this tournament reasonably easily and has done so again this year. Melzer too has played great tennis to get to this stage and I am sure he will win at least a set in this match.

Paul-Henri MATHIEU v Roger FEDERER Federer WIN @ 1.08
Roger Federer shouldn't have much trouble against Mathieu here. The French player has been unconvincing in his previous matches, and Federer wasn't at his best previously either. But Federer plays himself into tournaments, and Mathieu plays himself out of them. Federer to win this easily.