Tuesday 30 June 2009

If you'd backed the top players

What would you have won by backing the top players in all of their matches since 2005? Not including the grass court season this year, here are the stats.

Simon +493.54
Murray +397.87
Tsonga +138.56
Djokovic +94.42
Nadal +90.29
Gonzalez +61.00
Del Potro +1.46
Federer -104.12
Verdasco -134.26
Roddick -168.99

Wimbledon 4th Round results, Saturday

LOST Igor ANDREEV v Tommy HAAS Lay Haas @ 1.38 (-3.8)
WON Robin SODERLING v Roger FEDERER Federer 3-0 @ 1.62 (+6.2)
WON Novak DJOKOVIC v Dudi SELA Djokovic 3-0 @ 1.62 (+6.2)
LOST Fernando VERDASCO v Ivo KARLOVIC Lay Karlovic @ 1.73 (-7.3)
WON Lleyton HEWITT v Radek STEPANEK Lay Hewitt 3-0 @ 2.6 (+6.25)
LOST Juan Carlos FERRERO v Gilles SIMON Lay Ferrero @ 1.9 (-9)
LOST Andy MURRAY v Stanislas WAWRINKA Murray 3-0 @ 1.7 (-7)
WON Tomas BERDYCH v Andy RODDICK Roddick WIN @ 1.62 (+6.2)


Total profit on £10 stake on each bet = -2.25

Monday 29 June 2009

Wimbledon 4th Round matches, Monday

Igor ANDREEV v Tommy HAAS Lay Haas @ 1.38
Robin SODERLING v Roger FEDERER Federer 3-0 @ 1.62
Novak DJOKOVIC v Dudi SELA Djokovic 3-0 @ 1.62
Fernando VERDASCO v Ivo KARLOVIC Lay Karlovic @ 1.73
Lleyton HEWITT v Radek STEPANEK Lay Hewitt 3-0 @ 2.6
Juan Carlos FERRERO v Gilles SIMON Lay Ferrero @ 1.9
Andy MURRAY v Stanislas WAWRINKA Murray 3-0 @ 1.7
Tomas BERDYCH v Andy RODDICK Roddick WIN @ 1.62

Sunday 28 June 2009

Wimbledon 3rd Round results, Saturday

WON Lleyton HEWITT v Philipp PETZSCHNER Hewitt WIN @ 1.12 (+1.2)
WON Andy RODDICK v Jurgen MELZER Roddick WIN @ 1.1 (+1.0)
WON Victor HANESCU v Gilles SIMON Simon WIN @ 1.83 (+8.3)
WON Andy MURRAY v Viktor TROICKI Murray WIN @ 1.03 (+0.3)
WON Fernando GONZALEZ v Juan Carlos FERRERO Lay Gonzalez @ 1.54 (+10)


Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = +20.80

Saturday 27 June 2009

Wimbledon 3rd Round matches, Saturday

Lleyton HEWITT v Philipp PETZSCHNER Hewitt WIN @ 1.12
Andy RODDICK v Jurgen MELZER Roddick WIN @ 1.1
Victor HANESCU v Gilles SIMON Simon WIN @ 1.83
Andy MURRAY v Viktor TROICKI Murray WIN @ 1.03
Fernando GONZALEZ v Juan Carlos FERRERO Lay Gonzalez @ 1.54

Wimbledon 3rd Round results, Friday

WON Ivo KARLOVIC v Jo-Wilfried TSONGA Lay Tsonga @ 1.54 (+10)
WON Fernando V'SCO v Albert MONTANES Verdasco WIN @ 1.12 (+1.2)
Tommy HAAS v Marin CILIC Lay Haas @ 1.7 (-7)
LOST Philipp K'BER v Roger FEDERER Federer WIN 3-0 @ 1.36 (-10)

Total profit on £10 stake = -5.8

Friday 26 June 2009

Wimbledon 3rd Round matches, Friday

Philipp K'BER v Roger FEDERER Federer WIN 3-0 @ 1.36
Fernando V'SCO v Albert MONTANES Verdasco WIN @ 1.12
Ivo KARLOVIC v Jo-Wilfried TSONGA Lay Tsonga @ 1.54
Tommy HAAS v Marin CILIC Lay Haas @ 1.7

All others are no bets today.

Wimbledon 2nd Round results, Thursday

WON Jurgen MELZER v Benjamin BECKER Lay Becker @ 1.87 (+10)
WON Juan Martin DEL POTRO v Lleyton HEWITT Lay Del Potro @ 1.4
(+10)
LOST Nikolay DAVYDENKO v Victor CRIVOI Lay Davydenko 3-0 @ 1.57
(-5.7)
LOST Thiago ALVES v Gilles SIMON Simon 3-0 @ 1.8
(-8)
WON Igor KUNITSYN v Andy RODDICK Roddick WIN @ 1.04 (+0.4)
LOST Victor TROICKI v Daniel GIMENO-TRAVER Lay Troicki @ 1.17
(-1.7)
LOST Juan Carlos FERRERO v Fabrice SANTORO Lay Ferrero @ 1.5
(-5)
WON Radek STEPANEK v Potito STARACE Stepanek WIN @ 1.13
(+1.3)
LOST Andy MURRAY v Ernests GULBIS Lay Murray 3-0 @ 1.72
(-7.2)
LOST Fernando GONZALEZ v Leonardo MAYER Lay Gonzalez @ 1.26
(-2.6)
LOST Pablo CUEVAS v Jesse LEVINE Lay Levine @ 1.5
(-5)
WON Stanislas WAWRINKA v Martin V-ARGUELLO Wawrinka 3-0 @ 1.73
(+10)

Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = -3.50

Thursday 25 June 2009

Wimbledon 2nd Round, Thursday

Jurgen MELZER v Benjamin BECKER Lay Becker @ 1.87
Juan Martin DEL POTRO v Lleyton HEWITT Lay Del Potro @ 1.4
Nikolay DAV'KO v Victor CRIVOI Lay Davydenko 3-0 @ 1.57
Thiago ALVES v Gilles SIMON Simon 3-0 @ 1.8
Igor KUNITSYN v Andy RODDICK Roddick WIN @ 1.04
Victor TROICKI v Daniel GIMENO-TRAVER Lay Troicki @ 1.17
Juan Carlos FERRERO v Fabrice SANTORO Lay Ferrero @ 1.5
Radek STEPANEK v Potito STARACE Stepanek WIN @ 1.13
Andy MURRAY v Ernests GULBIS Lay Murray 3-0 @ 1.72
Fernando GONZALEZ v Leonardo MAYER Lay Gonzalez @ 1.26
Pablo CUEVAS v Jesse LEVINE Lay Levine @ 1.5
Stanislas WAWRINKA v Martin V-ARGUELLO Wawrinka 3-0 @ 1.73

Wimbledon 2nd Round results, Wednesday

LOST Mardy FISH v Janko TIPSAREVIC Lay Fish @ 1.67 (-6.7)
LOST Tommy ROBREDO v Stefan KOUBEK Robredo 3-0 @ 2.1 (-10)

WON Simon GREUL v Novak DJOKOVIC Djokovic WIN @ 1.05 (+0.5)
LOST Fernando VERDASCO v Kristof VLIEGEN Verdasco 3-0 @ 1.9 (-10)
WON Guillermo CANAS v Albert MONTANES Lay Canas @ 1.69 (+10)
WON Guillermo GARCIA-LOPEZ v Roger FEDERER Federer 3-0 @ 1.24 (+2.4)
WON Philipp KOHLSCHREIBER v Ivo MINAR Kohlschreiber WIN @ 1.12 (+1.2)
WON Ivo KARLOVIC v Steve DARCIS Lay Darcis 3-1 @ 11.5 (+0.95)
WON Nicolas ALMAGRO v Karol BECK Lay Almagro 3-0 @ 6.4 (+1.85)
WON Robin SODERLING v Marcel GRANOLLERS Soderling WIN @ 1.1 (+1)
VOID Simone BOLELLI v Jo-Wilfried TSONGA Lay Tsonga @ 1.13

LOST Sam QUERREY v Marin CILIC Lay Cilic @ 1.49 (-4.9)
LOST Andreas SEPPI v Marc GICQUEL Lay Seppi @ 1.67 (-6.7)


Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = -20.40

Wednesday 24 June 2009

Wimbledon 2nd Round, Wednesday

Never the easiest round to predict at Wimbledon, but this is what the stats say -

Mardy FISH v Janko TIPSAREVIC Lay Fish @ 1.67
Tommy ROBREDO v Stefan KOUBEK Robredo 3-0 @ 2.1
Fernando VERDASCO v Kristof VLIEGEN Verdasco 3-0 @ 1.9
Simon GREUL v Novak DJOKOVIC Djokovic WIN @ 1.05
Guillermo CANAS v Albert MONTANES Lay Canas @ 1.69
Guillermo G-LOPEZ v Roger FEDERER Federer 3-0 @ 1.24
Philipp K'BER v Ivo MINAR Kohlschreiber WIN @ 1.12
Ivo KARLOVIC v Steve DARCIS Lay Darcis 3-1 @ 11.5
Nicolas ALMAGRO v Karol BECK Lay Almagro 3-0 @ 6.4
Robin SODERLING v Marcel GRANOLLERS Soderling WIN @ 1.1
Simone BOLELLI v Jo-Wilfried TSONGA Lay Tsonga @ 1.13
Sam QUERREY v Marin CILIC Lay Cilic @ 1.49
Andreas SEPPI v Marc GICQUEL Lay Seppi @ 1.67

Any matches not included are no bets.

Tuesday 23 June 2009

Wimbledon First Round results, Tuesday

WON Fernando GONZALEZ v Teimuraz GABASHVILI Gonzalez WIN @ 1.1 (+1)
LOST Nicolas DEVILDER v Nicolas LAPENTTI Lapentti WIN @ 1.5 (-5)
WON Nikolay DAVYDENKO v Daniel EVANS Davydenko WIN @ 1.11 (+1.1)
LOST Oscar HERNANDEZ v Leonardo MAYER Lay Mayer @ 1.33 (-3.3)
WON Victor CRIVOI v Bjorn PHAU Lay Phau @ 1.4 (+10)
LOST Alex BOGDANOVIC v Tomas BERDYCH Lay Berdych @ 1.17 (-1.7)
LOST Benjamin BECKER v Roko KARANUSIC Lay Becker @ 1.4 (-4)
WON Fabio FOGNINI v Denis ISTOMIN Lay Istomin @ 1.36 (+10)
LOST Frederico GIL v Paul-Henri MATHIEU Lay Mathieu @ 1.4 (-4)
WON Jurgen MELZER v Wayne ODESNIK Melzer 3-0 @ 2.3 (+13)
WON Kevin KIM v David FERRER Ferrer WIN @ 1.14 (+1.4)
WON Lleyton HEWITT v Robby GINEPRI Hewitt WIN @ 1.16 (+1.6)
WON Andy RODDICK v Jeremy CHARDY Roddick WIN @ 1.13 (+1.3)
WON Bobby REYNOLDS v Gilles SIMON Simon WIN @ 1.2 (+2)
WON Christophe ROCHUS v Pablo CUEVAS Lay Rochus @ 1.83 (+10)
WON Jesse LEVINE v Marat SAFIN Lay Safin @ 1.36 (+10)
WON Stanislas WAWRINKA v Eduardo SCHWANK Wawrinka WIN @ 1.06 (+0.6)
WON Taylor DENT v Daniel GIMENO-TRAVER Lay Dent @ 1.17
(+10)
LOST Thiago ALVES v Andrei PAVEL Lay Alves @ 1.83 (-8.3)
LOST Andy MURRAY v Robert KENDRICK Murray 3-0 @ 1.24 (-10)
WON Juan Carlos FERRERO v Mikhail YOUZHNY Lay Youzhny @ 1.83 (+10)


Total profit on £10 stake on each bet = 45.70

Wimbledon First Round, Tuesday

Fernando GONZALEZ v Teimuraz GABASHVILI Gonzalez WIN @ 1.1
Nicolas DEVILDER v Nicolas LAPENTTI Lapentti WIN @ 1.5
Nikolay DAVYDENKO v Daniel EVANS
Davydenko WIN @ 1.11
Oscar HERNANDEZ v Leonardo MAYER
Lay Mayer @ 1.33
Victor CRIVOI v Bjorn PHAU
Lay Phau @ 1.4
Alex BOGDANOVIC v Tomas BERDYCH
Lay Berdych @ 1.17
Benjamin BECKER v Roko KARANUSIC Lay Becker @ 1.4
Fabio FOGNINI v Denis ISTOMIN Lay Istomin @ 1.36
Frederico GIL v Paul-Henri MATHIEU
Lay Mathieu @ 1.4
Jurgen MELZER v Wayne ODESNIK Melzer 3-0 @ 2.3
Kevin KIM v David FERRER Ferrer WIN @ 1.14
Lleyton HEWITT v Robby GINEPRI
Hewitt WIN @ 1.16
Andy RODDICK v Jeremy CHARDY
Roddick WIN @ 1.13
Bobby REYNOLDS v Gilles SIMON Simon WIN @ 1.2
Christophe ROCHUS v Pablo CUEVAS Lay Rochus @ 1.83
Jesse LEVINE v Marat SAFIN
Lay Safin @ 1.36
Stanislas WAWRINKA v Eduardo SC'NK Wawrinka WIN @ 1.06
Taylor DENT v Daniel GIMENO-TRAVER
Lay Dent @ 1.17
Thiago ALVES v Andrei PAVEL
Lay Alves @ 1.83
Andy MURRAY v Robert KENDRICK Murray 3-0 @ 1.24
Juan Carlos FERRERO v Mikhail YOUZHNY
Lay Youzhny @ 1.83

Wimbledon First Round results, Monday

LOST James BLAKE v Andreas SEPPI Blake 3-0 @ 2.3 (-10)
LOST Guillermo GARCIA-L v Agustin CALLERI Lay Garcia-L @ 1.19 (-1.9)
WON Karol BECK v Feliciano LOPEZ Lay Lopez @ 1.36 (+10)
LOST Philipp KOHLS'BER v Florent SERRA Lay Kohlschreiber @ 1.27 (-2.7)
WON Adrian MANNARINO v Marc GICQUEL Gicquel WIN @ 1.45 (+4.5)
LOST Ivo MINAR v Maximo GONZALEZ Lay Minar @ 1.45 (-4.5)
WON Yen-Hsun LU v Roger FEDERER Federer WIN @ 1.01 (+0.1)
WON Mardy FISH v Sergio ROITMAN Fish WIN @ 1.05 (+0.5)
WON Andrey GOLUBEV v Jo-Wilfried TSONGA Tsonga WIN @ 1.06 (+0.6)
WON Marcel GRANOLLERS v Andreas BECK Lay Beck @ 1.20 (+10)
WON Jan HERNYCH v Janko TIPSAREVIC Tipsarevic 3-0 @ 2.3 (+13)
LOST Xavier MALISSE v Rainer SCHUETTLER Lay Schuettler @ 1.9 (-9)
WON Evgeny KOROLEV v Igor ANDREEV Andreev WIN @ 1.5 (+5)
WON Nicolas MAHUT v Kristof VLIEGEN Lay Mahut @ 1.36 (+10)
WON Tommy ROBREDO v Luka GREGORC Robredo WIN @ 1.16 (+1.6)
LOST Julien BENNETEAU v Novak DJOKOVIC Djokovic 3-0 @ 1.62 (-10)
WON Fernando VERDASCO v James WARD Verdasco WIN @ 1.05 (+0.5)
WON Tommy HAAS v Alexander PEYA Haas WIN @ 1.05 (unfinished)
LOST Diego JUNQUEIRA v Guillermo CANAS Lay Canas @ 1.36 (-3.6)
LOST Michael LLODRA v Joshua GOODALL Lay Llodra @ 1.17 (unfinished)
WON Alberto MARTIN v Marin CILIC Cilic WIN @ 1.04 (+0.4)


Total profit on £10 stake on each bet = 13.30

Monday 22 June 2009

Wimbledon winner?

Surely it must be a player with grass court ability. So, here are the players in the tournament who have a winning (i.e. 50+%) record on grass courts since 2005.

Player / Won / Lost / % / Odds

Federer / 42 / 1 / 97.67 / 1.9
Roddick / 32 / 7 / 82.05 / 32.0
Hewitt / 27 / 8 / 77.14 / 160
Djokovic / 21 / 7 / 75.00 / 17.0
Murray / 24 / 9 / 72.73 / 4.0
Berdych / 23 / 9 / 71.88 / 340
Karlovic / 24 / 10 / 70.59 / 200
Ferrer / 27 / 12 / 69.23 / 870
Ferrero / 18 / 8 / 69.23 / 1000
Safin / 17 / 8 / 68.00 / 260
Tursunov / 27 / 13 / 67.50 / 700
Tsonga / 6 / 3 / 66.67 / 50
Dent / 8 / 4 / 66.67 / 1000
Blake / 19 /10 / 65.52 / 280
F Gonzalez / 15 / 8 / 65.22 / 200
Mahut / 19 / 11 / 63.33 / 1000
Verdasco / 17 / 10 / 62.96 / 120
Youzhny / 17 / 10 / 62.96 / 1000
Santoro / 22 / 13 / 62.86 / 1000
Haas / 20 / 12 / 62.50 / 75
Ljubicic / 16 / 10 / 61.54 / 1000
Del Potro / 8 / 5 / 61.54 / 30
Istomin / 3 / 2 / 60.00 / 3000
Lopez / 15 / 10 / 60.00 / 1000
Cilic / 10 / 7 / 58.82 / 180
Tipsarevic / 18 / 13 / 58.06 / 800
Llodra / 11 / 8 / 57.89 / 1000
Stepanek / 12 / 9 / 57.14 / 750
Kohlschreiber / 17 / 13 / 56.67 / 790
Becker / 13 / 10 / 56.52 / 810
Clement / 16 / 13 / 55.17 / 3000
Soderling / 12 / 10 / 54.55 / 120
Schuettler / 12 / 10 / 54.55 / 1500
Dancevic / 13 / 11 / 54.17 / 1000
Melzer / 13 / 11 / 54.17 / 1000
Kiefer / 9 / 8 / 52.94 / 1000
Gicquel / 9 / 8 / 52.94 / 1500
Seppi / 13 / 12 / 52.00 / 2000

Wimbledon sets

Here are some set betting stats for Wimbledon since 2005.

First Set Score / Won match / Lost Match

6-0 / 6 / 1
6-1 / 27 / 4
6-2 / 40 / 6
6-3 / 108 / 29
6-4 / 95 / 28
7-5 / 23 / 14
7-6 / 82 / 28

Wimbledon 1st Round matches, Monday

To begin my Wimbledon predictions, here are Monday's matches and how I think they will result. I use statistics from the previous four years of this tournament, and I take an average of odds from five different bookmakers. I apply these odds and the results of the matches to this year's tournament. I additionally compare previous encounters between the players, their grass court form from the past 5 years, their form at Wimbledon and their matches this year.

I have not suggested a stake on these matches but for the purpose of calculating a profit for this blog I use a £10 back stake and a max. deficit of the same amount on lay bets.

Any matches not included are no bets.

James BLAKE v Andreas SEPPI Blake 3-0 @ 2.3
Guillermo GARCIA-L v Agustin CALLERI Lay Garcia-L @ 1.19
Karol BECK v Feliciano LOPEZ Lay Lopez @ 1.36
Philipp KOHLS'BER v Florent SERRA Lay Kohlschreiber @ 1.27
Adrian MANNARINO v Marc GICQUEL Gicquel WIN @ 1.45
Ivo MINAR v Maximo GONZALEZ Lay Minar @ 1.45
Yen-Hsun LU v Roger FEDERER Federer WIN @ 1.01
Mardy FISH v Sergio ROITMAN Fish WIN @ 1.05
Andrey GOLUBEV v Jo-Wilfried TSONGA Tsonga WIN @ 1.06
Marcel GRANOLLERS v Andreas BECK Lay Beck @ 1.20
Jan HERNYCH v Janko TIPSAREVIC Tipsarevic 3-0 @ 2.3
Xavier MALISSE v Rainer SCHUETTLER Lay Schuettler @ 1.9
Evgeny KOROLEV v Igor ANDREEV Andreev WIN @ 1.5
Nicolas MAHUT v Kristof VLIEGEN Lay Mahut @ 1.36
Tommy ROBREDO v Luka GREGORC Robredo WIN @ 1.16
Julien BENNETEAU v Novak DJOKOVIC Djokovic 3-0 @ 1.62
Fernando VERDASCO v James WARD Verdasco WIN @ 1.05
Tommy HAAS v Alexander PEYA Haas WIN @ 1.05
Diego JUNQUEIRA v Guillermo CANAS Lay Canas @ 1.36
Michael LLODRA v Joshua GOODALL Lay Llodra @ 1.17
Alberto MARTIN v Marin CILIC Cilic WIN @ 1.04

Wednesday 17 June 2009

Wimbledon ahead

I usually prefer not to bet on the pre-Grand Slam week of tennis, which is why I have not put any predictions on here for this week. There are also no stats for previous tournaments at one of the pre-Wimbledon tournaments.

However, Wimbledon starts next week and there will be many predictions on this blog for that.

Queens Club tennis results, Saturday

VOID James BLAKE v Andy RODDICK Roddick to win @ 1.33

Saturday 13 June 2009

Queens Club tennis, Saturday

One prediction today.

James BLAKE v Andy RODDICK
Roddick to win @ 1.33

Friday 12 June 2009

Queens Club results, Thursday

LOST Lleyton HEWITT v Andy RODDICK Lay Roddick 2-0 @ 1.87 (-8.7)
LOST Mikhail YOUZHNY v Gilles SIMON Lay Youzhny @ 1.62
(-6.2)


Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = -14.9

Thursday 11 June 2009

Queens Club tennis, Thursday

Lleyton HEWITT v Andy RODDICK Lay Roddick 2-0 @ 1.87
Mikhail YOUZHNY v Gilles SIMON Lay Youzhny @ 1.62

Results, Wednesday

WCQ football

WON Sweden v Malta 2+ goals @ 1.09 (+0.9)
WON England v Andorra England WIN @ 1.01 (+0.1)

Total profit on stake of £10 each bet = 1.00

Queen's Club tennis

WON Andy MURRAY v Andreas SEPPI Murray WIN @ 1.07 (+0.7)
WON Lleyton HEWITT v Federico GIL Hewitt WIN @ 1.10 (+1)
WON Ivo KARLOVIC v Julien BENNETEAU Karlovic WIN @ 1.4 (+4)

Total profit on stake of £10 each bet = 5.70

Wednesday 10 June 2009

WCQ football matches, Wednesday

Sweden v Malta 2+ goals @ 1.09
England v Andorra England WIN @ 1.01

Queens Club 2nd Round, Wednesday

Andy MURRAY v Andreas SEPPI Murray WIN @ 1.07
Lleyton HEWITT v Federico GIL Hewitt WIN @ 1.10
Ivo KARLOVIC v Julien BENNETEAU
Karlovic WIN @ 1.4

Queens Club results, Tuesday

LOST Steve DARCIS v Paul CAPDEVILLE Lay Darcis @ 1.57 (-5.7)
LOST Sebastien GROSJEAN v Juan Carlos FERRERO Lay Ferrero @ 1.5 (-5)
LOST Alberto MARTIN v Ernests GULBIS Gulbis WIN @ 1.14
(-10)
LOST Julien BENNETEAU v Daniel KOELLERER Lay Benneteau @ 1.28
(-2.8)
WON Teimuraz GABASHVILI v Ivo KARLOVIC Karlovic WIN @ 1.18 (+1.8)

WON Kristof VLIEGEN v Andy RODDICK
Roddick WIN @ 1.04 (+0.4)
WON Gael MONFILS v Andrey GOLUBEV Monfils WIN @ 1.17 (+1.7)


Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = -19.6

Tuesday 9 June 2009

Queens Club, Tuesday

Steve DARCIS v Paul CAPDEVILLE Lay Darcis @ 1.57
Sebastien GROSJEAN v Juan Carlos FERRERO Lay Ferrero @ 1.5
Alberto MARTIN v Ernests GULBIS Gulbis WIN @ 1.14
Julien BENNETEAU v Daniel KOELLERER Lay Benneteau @ 1.28
Teimuraz GABASHVILI v Ivo KARLOVIC Karlovic WIN @ 1.18

Kristof VLIEGEN v Andy RODDICK Roddick WIN @ 1.04
Gael MONFILS v Andrey GOLUBEV Monfils WIN @ 1.17

Queens Club First Round results, Monday

WON Mikhail YOUZHNY v Oscar HERNANDEZ Youzhny WIN @1.13 (+1.3)
WON Paul-Henri MATHIEU v Andrei PAVEL Mathieu WIN 2-0 @ 1.36 (+3.6)
LOST Leonardo MAYER v Kristof VLIEGEN Lay Vliegen @ 1.62 (-6.2)
LOST Andreas SEPPI v Robby GINEPRI Lay Seppi @ 1.67 (-6.7)
WON Lleyton HEWITT v Eduardo SCHWANK Hewitt WIN 2-0 @ 1.3 (+3)
LOST Ivan LJUBICIC v Sergiy STAKHOVSKY Lay Ljubicic @ 1.64 (-6.4)
LOST Michael LLODRA v Evgeny KOROLEV Lay Llodra @ 1.52 (-5.2)
LOST Kevin ANDERSON v Fabio FOGNINI Lay Anderson @ 1.45 (-4.5)
LOST Igor DIMITROV v Ivan NAVARRO Lay Dimitrov @ 1.63 (-6.3)
LOST Federico GIL v Daniel GIMENO TRAVER Lay Gil @ 1.57 (-5.7)


Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = -33.10

Monday 8 June 2009

Queens Club First Round, Monday

Here are my predictions, based on stats, for the Queens Club tennis first round matches.

Mikhail YOUZHNY v Oscar HERNANDEZ Youzhny WIN @1.13
Paul-Henri MATHIEU v Andrei PAVEL Mathieu WIN 2-0 @ 1.36
Leonardo MAYER v Kristof VLIEGEN Lay Vliegen @ 1.62
Andreas SEPPI v Robby GINEPRI Lay Seppi @ 1.67
Lleyton HEWITT v Eduardo SCHWANK Hewitt WIN 2-0 @ 1.3
Ivan LJUBICIC v Sergiy STAKHOVSKY Lay Ljubicic @ 1.64
Michael LLODRA v Evgeny KOROLEV Lay Llodra @ 1.52
Kevin ANDERSON v Fabio FOGNINI Lay Anderson @ 1.45
Igor DIMITROV v Ivan NAVARRO Lay Dimitrov @ 1.63
Federico GIL v Daniel GIMENO TRAVER Lay Gil @ 1.57

All other matches are no bets.

French Open Final result, Sunday

WON Robin SODERLING v Roger FEDERER Federer WIN @ 1.27 (+2.7)

Total profit on stake of £10 = 2.70

Twenty20 cricket result, Sunday

WON South Africa v Scotland South Africa WIN @ 1.07 (+0.7)

Total profit on stake of £10 = 0.70

Sunday 7 June 2009

French Open Final, Sunday

Robin SODERLING v Roger FEDERER Federer WIN @ 1.27
Federer's record against Robin Soderling is excellent, and while he may not have had the easiest matches on route to the final, Federer should win his first French Open today. Soderling's mental ability was wobbly against Gonzalez and Federer has more to his game to outthink the Swede.

Twenty20 cricket, Sunday

This has to be a bet, whatever the the odds. South Africa should eliminate Scotland from the tournament with ease.

South Africa v Scotland South Africa WIN @ 1.07

Saturday's World Cup qualification football matches, results

WON Kazakhstan v England England WIN @ 1.15 (+1.5)
WON Slovakia v San Marino 3 goals+ @ 1.16 (+1.6)
WON Tunisia v Mozambique Tunisia WIN @ 1.32 (+3.2)

Total profit on £10 stake on each bet = 6.30

Saturday 6 June 2009

Saturday's World Cup football qualification matches

Here are my predictions for Saturday's World Cup qualification football matches.

Kazakhstan v England England WIN @ 1.15
Slovakia v San Marino 3 goals+ @ 1.16
Tunisia v Mozambique Tunisia WIN @ 1.32

French Open Semi-Final results, Friday

WON Juan Martin DEL POTRO v Roger FEDERER Federer WIN @ 1.3 (+3)

Total profit on £10 stake = 3.00

Friday 5 June 2009

French Open Semi-Finals, Friday

Juan Martin DEL POTRO v Roger FEDERER Federer WIN @ 1.3

Robin SODERLING v Fernando GONZALEZ No bet

French Open Quarter-Finals, Wednesday results

WON Roger FEDERER v Gael MONFILS Federer to win @ 1.33 (+3.3)

Total profit on stake od £10 = 3.30

Wednesday 3 June 2009

French Open Quarter-Finals, Wednesday

Roger FEDERER v Gael MONFILS Federer to win @ 1.33

Juan Martin DEL POTRO v Tommy ROBREDO No bet

French Open Quarter-Finals results, Tuesday

WON Andy MURRAY v Fernando GONZALEZ Lay Gonzalez 3-0 @ 8.4 (+1.35)

Total profit on a stake of £10 = 1.35

Tuesday 2 June 2009

French Open Quarter-Finals, Tuesday

This is not an easy round to predict. There are a number of reasons for this. The lack of clear favourites in this round is unusual. These are the odds of the winners in this round over a period of four years.

1.03
1.04
1.04
1.04
1.05
1.05
1.10
1.10
1.11
1.30
1.56
1.60
1.64
2.16
2.28
4.18

As you can see, there are very few non-favourites winning their matches, but there are many at less than 1.1.

So for this round, an analysis of the player statistics becomes more important. Additionally, set betting seems the ideal choice.

Robin SODERLING v Nikolay DAVYDENKO No bet
Soderling and Davydenko is a very tough match to bet on. Considering that Davydenko is a 1.5s favourite and the player who is a real danger in this tournament I would think he should win this match. His return of serve should be an important factor in obliterating Soderling's power hitting. But there is a strong previous encounter favouritism for Soderling, who has beaten Davydenko convincingly on previous occasions. Davydenko has, however, a far better clay court record - and an impressive French Open record. He has been knocked out of the French Open by Federer, Nalbandian, Ljubicic and Puerta in four years. He has got to the semi-finals twice in that period. Soderling has been knocked out by Lee, Montanes, Nadal and Benneteau. He has never exceeded the third round. This is a toss of a coin. No bet.

Andy MURRAY v Fernando GONZALEZ Lay Gonzalez 3-0 @ 8.4
This is another close match which isn't easy to select a winner from. Gonzalez' form on these courts is good, but overrated. Murray's is improving but not convincing. Gonzalez will have to play a great game today to beat Murray and considering the way he has played in the tournament against lesser opponents, he should have the energy and ability to do that. I can't, however, see him winning it 3-0.

Monday 1 June 2009

French Open 4th Round results, Monday

Three defeats and and one win, and a profit.

WON Andy RODDICK v Gael MONFILS Monfils to win 3-0 @ 5.0 (+40)
LOST Roger FEDERER v Tommy HAAS Federer to win 3-0 @ 1.59 (-10)
LOST Juan Martin DEL POTRO v Jo-Wilfried TSONGA Del Potro to win 3-0 @ 3.75 (-10)
LOST Tommy ROBREDO v Philipp KOHLSCHREIBER Robredo to win 3-0 @ 5.7 (-10)

Total profit on £10 stake on each bet = 10.00

French Open 4th Round, Monday

Here are my predictions for Monday's matches.

Roger FEDERER v Tommy HAAS Federer to win 3-0 @ 1.59
Federer has the ability to beat Haas, who may have previously caused him problems but is unlikely to today.
Juan Martin DEL POTRO v Jo-Wilfried TSONGA Del Potro to win 3-0 @ 3.75
Del Potro should knock Tsonga out this competition, the Frenchman doesn't have the experience on these courts to beat Del Potro.
Tommy ROBREDO v Philipp KOHLSCHREIBER Robredo to win 3-0 @ 5.7
Robredo is underestimated here and could be in for a big tournament. Too much emphasis on Kohlschreiber's elimination of Djokovic and not enough on the matches of Robredo in these odds.
Andy RODDICK v Gael MONFILS Monfils to win 3-0 @ 5.0
Roddick is dangerous but I suspect that Monfils will knock him around the court far too much for him to win this.

French Open 4th Round results, Sunday

WON Fernando GONZALEZ v Victor HANESCU G'lez to win 3-0 @ 2.10 (+11)
LOST Rafael Nadal v Robin SODERLING Nadal to win 3-0 @ 1.31 (-10)
WON Andy Murray v Marin CILIC Murray to win 3-0 @ 3.10 (+21)
LOST Nicolay DAVYDENKO v Fernando VERDASCO Verd'co to win 3-0 @ 4.0 (-10)

Total profit on £10 stake on each bet = 12.00