Sunday 30 August 2009

US Open 1st round matches

The US Open tennis is about to start. Here are my predictions using analysis of previous match odds. Because of odds changes I have amended the bets marked with a *.

Rainer SCHUETTLER v Jan HERNYCH Schuettler 3-0 @ 5.2
Simon GREUL v Giovanni LAPENTTI Greul 3-0 @ 6.2
Guillermo GARCIA-LOPEZ v Peter POLANSKY Garcia-Lopez WIN @ 1.44
Robin SODERLING v Albert MONTANES No bet

Paul-Henri MATHIEU v Mikhail YOUZHNY Mathieu 3-0 @ 5.9
*Potito STARACE v Marco CHIUDINELLI No bet
Mischa ZVEREV v Marcel GRANOLLERS Lay Zverev @ 1.66
Frederico GIL v Somdev DEVVARMAN Gil 3-0 @ 5.2
John ISNER v Victor HANESCU Isner 3-0 @ 5.0
*Marsel ILHAN v Christophe ROCHUS No bet
Nikolay DAVYDENKO v Dieter KINDLMANN Davydenko WIN @ 1.04
Tommy ROBREDO v Donald YOUNG Lay Robredo 3-0 @ 2.54
Roger FEDERER v Devin BRITTON Federer 3-0 @ 1.07
Juan Ignacio CHELA v Oscar HERNANDEZ Lay Chela 3-0 @ 2.54
Tommy HAAS v Alejandro FALLA Lay Haas 3-0 @ 1.9
Robert KENDRICK v Martin VASSALLO-ARGUELLO Lay Kendrick 3-0 @ 2.06
Philipp KOHLSCHREIBER v Andreas SEPPI Lay Kohlschreiber @ 1.62
Igor KUNITSYN v Olivier ROCHUS Lay Kunitsyn @ 1.75
Lleyton HEWITT v Thiago ALVES Lay Hewitt @ 1.05
James BLAKE v Ruben R-HIDALGO Blake WIN @ 1.11
Marc GICQUEL v Dmitry TURSUNOV Lay Gicquel 3-0 @ 4.2
Leonardo MAYER v Andrey GOLUBEV Lay Mayer @ 1.47
Andy RODDICK v Bjorn PHAU Roddick WIN @ 1.03
Radek STEPANEK v Simone BOLELLI Lay Stepanek 3-0 @ 2.82
David FERRER v Alberto MARTIN Ferrer WIN @ 1.06
Gilles SIMON v Daniel GIMENO-TRAVER Simon WIN @ 1.08
Mardy FISH v Daniel KOELLERER Lay Fish 3-0 @ 2.0
Fernando VERDASCO v Benjamin BECKER
Lay Verdasco 3-0 @ 1.69

Andy MURRAY v Ernests GULBIS
Murray WIN @ 1.04
Denis ISTOMIN v Brendan EVANS Lay Istomin 3-0 @ 3.2
Andreas BECK v Evgeny KOROLEV Lay Beck @ 1.59
Feliciano LOPEZ v Taylor DENT
Lay Lopez @ 1.54
Julien BENNETEAU v Flavio CIPOLLA Lay Benneteau 3-0 @ 2.1
Janko TIPSAREVIC v Florent SERRA
Tipsarevic 3-0 @ 4.1
Gael MONFILS v Jeremy CHARDY Lay Monfils 3-0 @ 3.6
Ivo KARLOVIC v Ivan NAVARRO
Karlovic WIN @ 1.18

Jarkko NIEMINEN v Fabio FOGNINI Nieminen 3-0 @ 4.1
Jo-Wilfried TSONGA v Chase BUCHANAN
Tsonga WIN @ 1.03
Juan Carlos FERRERO v Fabrice SANTORO Lay Ferrero 3-0 @ 2.3

Juan Martin DEL POTRO v Juan MONACO
Lay Del Potro @ 1.07
Jurgen MELZER v Marat SAFIN
Lay Melzer @ 1.75
Karol BECK v Maximo GONZALEZ Beck WIN @ 1.42

Dudi SELA v Kevin KIM Sela WIN @ 1.38
Jose ACASUSO v Marcos DANIEL
Lay Acasuso 3-0 @ 2.1
Marin CILIC v Ryan SWEETING
Lay Cilic 3-0 @ 1.62
Nicolas KIEFER v Michael LLODRA Kiefer WIN @ 1.42

Nicolas ALMAGRO v Steve DARCIS Lay Almagro 3-0 @ 2.1
Stanislas WAWRINKA v Nicolas LAPENTTI Wawrinka WIN @ 1.15

Viktor TROICKI v Peter LUCZAK
Troicki 3-0 @ 4.1
Yen-Hsun LU v Thomaz BELLUCCI
Lu 3-0 @ 5.2
Fernando GONZALEZ v Nicolas MASSU
Lay Gonzalez 3-0 @ 1.7
Sam QUERREY v Michael YANI Querrey WIN @ 1.08
Novak DJOKOVIC v Ivan LJUBICIC Lay Djokovic 3-0 @ 1.4
Chris GUCCIONE v Pablo CUEVAS
Lay Guccione @ 1.62
Paul CAPDEVILLE v Victor CRIVOI Lay Capdeville 3-0 @ 2.6

Philipp PETZSCHNER v Sergiy STAKHOVSKY Petzschner WIN @ 1.45
Rafael NADAL v Richard GASQUET Lay Nadal 3-0 @ 1.54
Carsten BALL v Juan Pablo BRZEZICKI
Ball WIN @ 1.5
Robby GINEPRI v Andrei PAVEL Ginepri WIN @ 1.16
Jesse LEVINE v Teimuraz GABASHVILI Levine 3-0 @ 4.1
Michael BERRER v Horacio ZEBALLOS Berrer 3-0 @ 4.2
Tomas BERDYCH v Wayne ODESNIK
Lay Berdych 3-0 @ 1.5
Igor ANDREEV v Jesse WITTEN
Lay Andreev 3-0 @ 1.5

Rajeev RAM v Josselin OUANNA No bet

Friday 28 August 2009

English football results, Saturday

WON Arsenal v Portsmouth Arsenal WIN @ 1.2 (+2)
WON Leeds Utd v Tranmere Rovers Leeds WIN @ 1.55 (+5.5)
LOST Northampton Town v Bournemouth Lay Northampton @ 2.7 (-10)


Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = -2.50

Saturday 22 August 2009

Football profit graph

Here is a graph to show that, using an average of odds from five different bookmakers, you would have made a profit by laying the home side with a £10 stake in every match for the 2008/9 season.














I won't reveal which line refers to each specific league, however, you can see that a profit would have been made for each and every league from the Premiership to League 2.

This is a common pattern throughout the previous 5 years, however, other European leagues do not show the same pattern.

English football, Saturday

Arsenal v Portsmouth Arsenal WIN @ 1.2
Leeds Utd v Tranmere Rovers Leeds WIN @ 1.55
Northampton Town v Bournemouth Lay Northampton @ 2.7

Rogers Cup 2nd Round results, Wednesday/Thursday

LOST Tommy HAAS v Fernando GONZALEZ Lay Gonzalez @ 1.85 (-8.5)
VOID Rafael NADAL v David FERRER Nadal WIN @ 1.32


Total profit on £10 stake on each bet = -8.50

Wednesday 12 August 2009

Rogers Cup 2nd Round matches, Wednesday/Thursday

Tommy HAAS v Fernando GONZALEZ Lay Gonzalez @ 1.85
Rafael NADAL v David FERRER Nadal WIN @ 1.32

Rogers Cup 2nd Round results, Tuesday

LOST Paul Henri MATHIEU v Nikolay DAVYDENKO Lay Davydenko @ 1.35 (-3.5)
LOST Andy MURRAY v Jeremy CHARDY Lay Murray @ 1.08
(-0.8)

Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = -£4.30

Rogers Cup, 1st Round results, Tuesday

WON Radek STEPANEK v Andrey GOLUBEV Lay Stepanek @ 1.4 (+10)
WON Dudi SELA v Alejandro FALLA Lay Sela @ 1.62 (+10)
LOST Fernando VERDASCO v Feliciano LOPEZ Lay Verdasco @ 1.36 (-3.6)
WON Julien BENNETEAU v Jan HERNYCH Lay Benneteau @ 1.74 (+10)
LOST John ISNER v Jesse LEVINE Lay Isner @ 1.5 (-5)

WON Lleyton HEWITT v Juan Carlos FERRERO Lay Hewitt @ 1.7 (+10)
WON Tomas BERDYCH v Philipp KOHLSCHREIBER Lay Berdych @ 1.9 (+10)
WON Jurgen MELZER v Victor HANESCU Lay Melzer @ 1.74 (+10)
LOST David FERRER v Viktor TROICKI Lay Ferrer @ 1.3 (-3)


Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = £46.40

Tuesday 11 August 2009

Rogers Cup, 2nd Round matches, Tuesday

Paul Henri MATHIEU v Nikolay DAVYDENKO Lay Davydenko @ 1.35
Andy MURRAY v Jeremy CHARDY Lay Murray @ 1.08

Rogers Cup, 1st Round matches, Tuesday

Radek STEPANEK v Andrey GOLUBEV Lay Stepanek @ 1.4
Dudi SELA v Alejandro FALLA
Lay Sela @ 1.62
Fernando VERDASCO v Feliciano LOPEZ
Lay Verdasco @ 1.36
Julien BENNETEAU v Jan HERNYCH
Lay Benneteau @ 1.74
John ISNER v Jesse LEVINE Lay Isner @ 1.5
Lleyton HEWITT v Juan Carlos FERRERO Lay Hewitt @ 1.7
Tomas BERDYCH v Philipp KOHLSCHREIBER
Lay Berdych @ 1.9
Jurgen MELZER v Victor HANESCU
Lay Melzer @ 1.74
David FERRER v Viktor TROICKI Lay Ferrer @ 1.3

Rogers Cup 1st Round results, Monday

VOID Dmitry TURSUNOV v Igor ANDREEV Lay Andreev @ 1.64
WON Marin CILIC v Mikhail YOUZHNY Lay Cilic @ 1.5 (+10)
WON Rainer SCHUETTLER v Florent SERRA Lay Serra @ 1.78 (+10)
LOST Yen Hsun LU v Jeremy CHARDY Lay Chardy @ 1.4 (-4)
LOST Stanislas WAWRINKA v Nicolas KIEFER Lay Wawrinka @ 1.69 (-6.9)
LOST Marat SAFIN v Gael MONFILS Lay Monfils @ 1.73 (-7.3)
LOST Gilles SIMON v Frank DANCEVIC Lay Simon @ 1.78 (-7.8)
LOST Leonardo MAYER v Mischa ZVEREV Lay Mayer @ 1.9 (-1.9)


Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = -£7.90

Monday 10 August 2009

Rogers Cup, 1st Round matches, Monday

Dmitry TURSUNOV v Igor ANDREEV Lay Andreev @ 1.64
Marin CILIC v Mikhail YOUZHNY Lay Cilic @ 1.5
Rainer SCHUETTLER v Florent SERRA Lay Serra @ 1.78
Yen Hsun LU v Jeremy CHARDY Lay Chardy @ 1.4
Stanislas WAWRINKA v Nicolas KIEFER
Lay Wawrinka @ 1.69
Marat SAFIN v Gael MONFILS
Lay Monfils @ 1.73
Gilles SIMON v Frank DANCEVIC
Lay Simon @ 1.78
Leonardo MAYER v Mischa ZVEREV Lay Mayer @ 1.9