Sunday, 30 August 2009

US Open 1st round matches

The US Open tennis is about to start. Here are my predictions using analysis of previous match odds. Because of odds changes I have amended the bets marked with a *.

Rainer SCHUETTLER v Jan HERNYCH Schuettler 3-0 @ 5.2
Simon GREUL v Giovanni LAPENTTI Greul 3-0 @ 6.2
Guillermo GARCIA-LOPEZ v Peter POLANSKY Garcia-Lopez WIN @ 1.44
Robin SODERLING v Albert MONTANES No bet

Paul-Henri MATHIEU v Mikhail YOUZHNY Mathieu 3-0 @ 5.9
*Potito STARACE v Marco CHIUDINELLI No bet
Mischa ZVEREV v Marcel GRANOLLERS Lay Zverev @ 1.66
Frederico GIL v Somdev DEVVARMAN Gil 3-0 @ 5.2
John ISNER v Victor HANESCU Isner 3-0 @ 5.0
*Marsel ILHAN v Christophe ROCHUS No bet
Nikolay DAVYDENKO v Dieter KINDLMANN Davydenko WIN @ 1.04
Tommy ROBREDO v Donald YOUNG Lay Robredo 3-0 @ 2.54
Roger FEDERER v Devin BRITTON Federer 3-0 @ 1.07
Juan Ignacio CHELA v Oscar HERNANDEZ Lay Chela 3-0 @ 2.54
Tommy HAAS v Alejandro FALLA Lay Haas 3-0 @ 1.9
Robert KENDRICK v Martin VASSALLO-ARGUELLO Lay Kendrick 3-0 @ 2.06
Philipp KOHLSCHREIBER v Andreas SEPPI Lay Kohlschreiber @ 1.62
Igor KUNITSYN v Olivier ROCHUS Lay Kunitsyn @ 1.75
Lleyton HEWITT v Thiago ALVES Lay Hewitt @ 1.05
James BLAKE v Ruben R-HIDALGO Blake WIN @ 1.11
Marc GICQUEL v Dmitry TURSUNOV Lay Gicquel 3-0 @ 4.2
Leonardo MAYER v Andrey GOLUBEV Lay Mayer @ 1.47
Andy RODDICK v Bjorn PHAU Roddick WIN @ 1.03
Radek STEPANEK v Simone BOLELLI Lay Stepanek 3-0 @ 2.82
David FERRER v Alberto MARTIN Ferrer WIN @ 1.06
Gilles SIMON v Daniel GIMENO-TRAVER Simon WIN @ 1.08
Mardy FISH v Daniel KOELLERER Lay Fish 3-0 @ 2.0
Fernando VERDASCO v Benjamin BECKER
Lay Verdasco 3-0 @ 1.69

Andy MURRAY v Ernests GULBIS
Murray WIN @ 1.04
Denis ISTOMIN v Brendan EVANS Lay Istomin 3-0 @ 3.2
Andreas BECK v Evgeny KOROLEV Lay Beck @ 1.59
Feliciano LOPEZ v Taylor DENT
Lay Lopez @ 1.54
Julien BENNETEAU v Flavio CIPOLLA Lay Benneteau 3-0 @ 2.1
Janko TIPSAREVIC v Florent SERRA
Tipsarevic 3-0 @ 4.1
Gael MONFILS v Jeremy CHARDY Lay Monfils 3-0 @ 3.6
Ivo KARLOVIC v Ivan NAVARRO
Karlovic WIN @ 1.18

Jarkko NIEMINEN v Fabio FOGNINI Nieminen 3-0 @ 4.1
Jo-Wilfried TSONGA v Chase BUCHANAN
Tsonga WIN @ 1.03
Juan Carlos FERRERO v Fabrice SANTORO Lay Ferrero 3-0 @ 2.3

Juan Martin DEL POTRO v Juan MONACO
Lay Del Potro @ 1.07
Jurgen MELZER v Marat SAFIN
Lay Melzer @ 1.75
Karol BECK v Maximo GONZALEZ Beck WIN @ 1.42

Dudi SELA v Kevin KIM Sela WIN @ 1.38
Jose ACASUSO v Marcos DANIEL
Lay Acasuso 3-0 @ 2.1
Marin CILIC v Ryan SWEETING
Lay Cilic 3-0 @ 1.62
Nicolas KIEFER v Michael LLODRA Kiefer WIN @ 1.42

Nicolas ALMAGRO v Steve DARCIS Lay Almagro 3-0 @ 2.1
Stanislas WAWRINKA v Nicolas LAPENTTI Wawrinka WIN @ 1.15

Viktor TROICKI v Peter LUCZAK
Troicki 3-0 @ 4.1
Yen-Hsun LU v Thomaz BELLUCCI
Lu 3-0 @ 5.2
Fernando GONZALEZ v Nicolas MASSU
Lay Gonzalez 3-0 @ 1.7
Sam QUERREY v Michael YANI Querrey WIN @ 1.08
Novak DJOKOVIC v Ivan LJUBICIC Lay Djokovic 3-0 @ 1.4
Chris GUCCIONE v Pablo CUEVAS
Lay Guccione @ 1.62
Paul CAPDEVILLE v Victor CRIVOI Lay Capdeville 3-0 @ 2.6

Philipp PETZSCHNER v Sergiy STAKHOVSKY Petzschner WIN @ 1.45
Rafael NADAL v Richard GASQUET Lay Nadal 3-0 @ 1.54
Carsten BALL v Juan Pablo BRZEZICKI
Ball WIN @ 1.5
Robby GINEPRI v Andrei PAVEL Ginepri WIN @ 1.16
Jesse LEVINE v Teimuraz GABASHVILI Levine 3-0 @ 4.1
Michael BERRER v Horacio ZEBALLOS Berrer 3-0 @ 4.2
Tomas BERDYCH v Wayne ODESNIK
Lay Berdych 3-0 @ 1.5
Igor ANDREEV v Jesse WITTEN
Lay Andreev 3-0 @ 1.5

Rajeev RAM v Josselin OUANNA No bet

Friday, 28 August 2009

English football results, Saturday

WON Arsenal v Portsmouth Arsenal WIN @ 1.2 (+2)
WON Leeds Utd v Tranmere Rovers Leeds WIN @ 1.55 (+5.5)
LOST Northampton Town v Bournemouth Lay Northampton @ 2.7 (-10)


Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = -2.50

Saturday, 22 August 2009

Football profit graph

Here is a graph to show that, using an average of odds from five different bookmakers, you would have made a profit by laying the home side with a £10 stake in every match for the 2008/9 season.














I won't reveal which line refers to each specific league, however, you can see that a profit would have been made for each and every league from the Premiership to League 2.

This is a common pattern throughout the previous 5 years, however, other European leagues do not show the same pattern.

English football, Saturday

Arsenal v Portsmouth Arsenal WIN @ 1.2
Leeds Utd v Tranmere Rovers Leeds WIN @ 1.55
Northampton Town v Bournemouth Lay Northampton @ 2.7

Rogers Cup 2nd Round results, Wednesday/Thursday

LOST Tommy HAAS v Fernando GONZALEZ Lay Gonzalez @ 1.85 (-8.5)
VOID Rafael NADAL v David FERRER Nadal WIN @ 1.32


Total profit on £10 stake on each bet = -8.50

Wednesday, 12 August 2009

Rogers Cup 2nd Round matches, Wednesday/Thursday

Tommy HAAS v Fernando GONZALEZ Lay Gonzalez @ 1.85
Rafael NADAL v David FERRER Nadal WIN @ 1.32

Rogers Cup 2nd Round results, Tuesday

LOST Paul Henri MATHIEU v Nikolay DAVYDENKO Lay Davydenko @ 1.35 (-3.5)
LOST Andy MURRAY v Jeremy CHARDY Lay Murray @ 1.08
(-0.8)

Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = -£4.30

Rogers Cup, 1st Round results, Tuesday

WON Radek STEPANEK v Andrey GOLUBEV Lay Stepanek @ 1.4 (+10)
WON Dudi SELA v Alejandro FALLA Lay Sela @ 1.62 (+10)
LOST Fernando VERDASCO v Feliciano LOPEZ Lay Verdasco @ 1.36 (-3.6)
WON Julien BENNETEAU v Jan HERNYCH Lay Benneteau @ 1.74 (+10)
LOST John ISNER v Jesse LEVINE Lay Isner @ 1.5 (-5)

WON Lleyton HEWITT v Juan Carlos FERRERO Lay Hewitt @ 1.7 (+10)
WON Tomas BERDYCH v Philipp KOHLSCHREIBER Lay Berdych @ 1.9 (+10)
WON Jurgen MELZER v Victor HANESCU Lay Melzer @ 1.74 (+10)
LOST David FERRER v Viktor TROICKI Lay Ferrer @ 1.3 (-3)


Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = £46.40

Tuesday, 11 August 2009

Rogers Cup, 2nd Round matches, Tuesday

Paul Henri MATHIEU v Nikolay DAVYDENKO Lay Davydenko @ 1.35
Andy MURRAY v Jeremy CHARDY Lay Murray @ 1.08

Rogers Cup, 1st Round matches, Tuesday

Radek STEPANEK v Andrey GOLUBEV Lay Stepanek @ 1.4
Dudi SELA v Alejandro FALLA
Lay Sela @ 1.62
Fernando VERDASCO v Feliciano LOPEZ
Lay Verdasco @ 1.36
Julien BENNETEAU v Jan HERNYCH
Lay Benneteau @ 1.74
John ISNER v Jesse LEVINE Lay Isner @ 1.5
Lleyton HEWITT v Juan Carlos FERRERO Lay Hewitt @ 1.7
Tomas BERDYCH v Philipp KOHLSCHREIBER
Lay Berdych @ 1.9
Jurgen MELZER v Victor HANESCU
Lay Melzer @ 1.74
David FERRER v Viktor TROICKI Lay Ferrer @ 1.3

Rogers Cup 1st Round results, Monday

VOID Dmitry TURSUNOV v Igor ANDREEV Lay Andreev @ 1.64
WON Marin CILIC v Mikhail YOUZHNY Lay Cilic @ 1.5 (+10)
WON Rainer SCHUETTLER v Florent SERRA Lay Serra @ 1.78 (+10)
LOST Yen Hsun LU v Jeremy CHARDY Lay Chardy @ 1.4 (-4)
LOST Stanislas WAWRINKA v Nicolas KIEFER Lay Wawrinka @ 1.69 (-6.9)
LOST Marat SAFIN v Gael MONFILS Lay Monfils @ 1.73 (-7.3)
LOST Gilles SIMON v Frank DANCEVIC Lay Simon @ 1.78 (-7.8)
LOST Leonardo MAYER v Mischa ZVEREV Lay Mayer @ 1.9 (-1.9)


Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = -£7.90

Monday, 10 August 2009

Rogers Cup, 1st Round matches, Monday

Dmitry TURSUNOV v Igor ANDREEV Lay Andreev @ 1.64
Marin CILIC v Mikhail YOUZHNY Lay Cilic @ 1.5
Rainer SCHUETTLER v Florent SERRA Lay Serra @ 1.78
Yen Hsun LU v Jeremy CHARDY Lay Chardy @ 1.4
Stanislas WAWRINKA v Nicolas KIEFER
Lay Wawrinka @ 1.69
Marat SAFIN v Gael MONFILS
Lay Monfils @ 1.73
Gilles SIMON v Frank DANCEVIC
Lay Simon @ 1.78
Leonardo MAYER v Mischa ZVEREV Lay Mayer @ 1.9