Srich or Ancic's Sports Betting

Wimbledon 2nd Round results

2010-07-07T22:47:00.000+01:00

WON Federer v Bozoljac Federer WIN @ 1.01 (+0.1)
WON Hewitt v Korolev Hewitt WIN @ 1.1 (+1.0)
WON Roddick v Llodra Roddick WIN @ 1.21 (+2.1)
WON Lopez v Berankis Murray WIN @ 1.59 (+5.9)

Wimbledon 2nd Round

2010-06-23T12:41:00.003+01:00

Federer v Bozoljac Federer WIN @ 1.01
Hewitt v Korolev Hewitt WIN @ 1.1
Roddick v Llodra Roddick WIN @ 1.21
Lopez v Berankis Lopez WIN @ 1.59

Wimbledon 1st Round results

2010-06-23T12:28:00.003+01:00

WON Federer v Falla Federer WIN @ 1.01 (+0.1)
WON Roddick v Ram Roddick WIN @ 1.02 (+0.2)
WON Hewitt v S Gonzalez Hewitt WIN @ 1.02 (+0.2)
WON Murray v Hajek Murray WIN @ 1.04 (+0.4)
WON Nadal v Nishikori Nadal WIN @ 1.04 (+0.4)
LOST Verdasco v Fognini Verdasco WIN @ 1.07 (-10)
WON Kohlschreiber v Starace Kohlschreiber WIN @ 1.1 (+1)
WON Djokovic v Rochus Djokovic WIN @ 1.12 (+1.2)
WON Llodra v Witten Llodra WIN @ 1.13 (+1.3)
WON Tsonga v Kendrick Tsonga WIN @ 1.13 (+1.3)
WON Soderling v Ginepri Soderling WIN @ 1.14 (+1.4)
LOST Ljubicic v Przysiezny Ljubicic WIN @ 1.19 (-10)
LOST A Beck v Baker Lay Beck @ 1.2 (-2)
LOST Benneteau v Vliegen Lay Benneteau @ 1.2 (-2)
WON Becker v Sweeting Becker WIN @ 1.22 (+2.2)
WON Lopez v Levine Lopez WIN @ 1.24 (+2.4)
WON Dent v Chela Dent WIN @ 1.34 (+3.4)
LOST Baghdatis v Lacko Baghdatis WIN @ 1.35 (-10)
WON Bellucci v Mello Bellucci WIN @ 1.36 (+3.6)
LOST Nieminen v Koubek Lay Nieminen @ 1.45 (-4.5)
LOST Ferrer v Kiefer Lay Ferrer @ 1.5 (-5)
WON Wawrinka v Istomin Lay Wawrinka @ 1.52 (+10)
WON Gicquel v Mathieu Lay Gicquel @ 1.62 (+10)
LOST Berankis v Ball Ball WIN @ 2.2 (-10)
LOST Luczak v Robredo Luczak WIN @ 2.1 (-10)
WON Seppi v Almagro Seppi WIN @ 1.9 (+9)

Wimbledon 1st Round

2010-06-21T03:06:00.004+01:00

Federer v Falla Federer WIN @ 1.01
Roddick v Ram Roddick WIN @ 1.02
Hewitt v S Gonzalez Hewitt WIN @ 1.02
Murray v Hajek Murray WIN @ 1.04
Nadal v Nishikori Nadal WIN @ 1.04
Verdasco v Fognini Verdasco WIN @ 1.07
Kohlschreiber v Starace Kohlschreiber WIN @ 1.1
Djokovic v Rochus Djokovic WIN @ 1.12
Llodra v Witten Llodra WIN @ 1.13
Tsonga v Kendrick Tsonga WIN @ 1.13
Soderling v Ginepri Soderling WIN @ 1.14
Ljubicic v Przysiezny Ljubicic WIN @ 1.19
A Beck v Baker Lay Beck @ 1.2
Benneteau v Vliegen Lay Benneteau @ 1.2
Becker v Sweeting Becker WIN @ 1.22
Lopez v Levine Lopez WIN @ 1.24
Dent v Chela Dent WIN @ 1.34
Baghdatis v Lacko Baghdatis WIN @ 1.35
Bellucci v Mello Bellucci WIN @ 1.36
Nieminen v Koubek Lay Nieminen @ 1.45
Ferrer v Kiefer Lay Ferrer @ 1.5
Wawrinka v Istomin Lay Wawrinka @ 1.52
Gicquel v Mathieu Lay Gicquel @ 1.62
Berankis v Ball Ball WIN @ 2.2
Luczak v Robredo Luczak WIN @ 2.1
Seppi v Almagro Seppi WIN @ 1.9

World Cup result, 18th June

2010-06-21T03:03:00.001+01:00

WON Germany v Serbia Less than 4 goals @ 1.36 (+3.6)

World Cup, 18th June

2010-06-18T11:54:00.000+01:00

Germany v Serbia Less than 4 goals @ 1.36

Baseball results, 18th June

2010-06-18T11:46:00.001+01:00

WON ARI @ BOS BOS WIN @ 1.7 (+7)
WON NYM @ CLE NYM WIN @ 2.02 (+10.2)
LOST TB @ ATL TB WIN @ 2.16 (-10)
LOST TEX @ FLA FLA WIN @ 1.69 (-10)

Baseball, 18th June

2010-06-18T00:32:00.004+01:00

Equal stake on each.

ARI @ BOS BOS WIN @ 1.7
NYM @ CLE NYM WIN @ 2.02
TB @ ATL TB WIN @ 2.16
TEX @ FLA FLA WIN @ 1.69

US Open Final result

2009-10-13T00:38:00.000+01:00

LOST Roger FEDERER v Juan Martin DEL POTRO Federer 3-0 @ 1.8 IN-PLAY (-8.0)

Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = -£8.00

US Open Final

2009-09-14T21:53:00.001+01:00

Roger FEDERER v Juan Martin DEL POTRO Federer 3-0 @ 1.8 IN-PLAY

US Open Semi-Final results

2009-09-14T21:52:00.001+01:00

LOST Rafael NADAL v Juan Martin DEL POTRO Nadal WIN @ 1.87 (-10)
WON Roger FEDERER v Novak DJOKOVIC Federer WIN @ 1.23 (+2.3)

Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = -£7.70

US Open Semi-Final matches

2009-09-13T15:33:00.003+01:00

Rafael NADAL v Juan Martin DEL POTRO Nadal WIN @ 1.87
Roger FEDERER v Novak DJOKOVIC Federer WIN @ 1.23

US Open Quarter-Final results

2009-09-13T15:18:00.000+01:00

WON Novak DJOKOVIC v Fernando VERDASCO Djokovic WIN @ 1.42 (+4.2)
WON Roger FEDERER v Robin SODERLING Federer WIN @ 1.07 (+0.7)
WON Rafael NADAL v Fernando GONZALEZ Nadal WIN @ 1.36 (+3.6)

Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = 8.50

US Open Quarter-Final matches

2009-09-09T20:31:00.001+01:00

Novak DJOKOVIC v Fernando VERDASCO Djokovic WIN @ 1.42
Roger FEDERER v Robin SODERLING Federer WIN @ 1.07
Rafael NADAL v Fernando GONZALEZ Nadal WIN @ 1.36
Juan Martin DEL POTRO v Marin CILIC No bet

US Open 4th round results

2009-09-09T18:31:00.005+01:00

WON Roger FEDERER v Tommy ROBREDO Federer WIN @ 1.04 (+0.4)
LOST Fernando VERDASCO v John ISNER Lay Verdasco @ 1.54 (-5.4)
WON Novak DJOKOVIC v Radek STEPANEK Djokovic WIN @ 1.32 (+3.2)
WON Rafael NADAL v Gael MONFILS Nadal WIN @ 1.6 (+6)
WON Juan Martin DEL POTRO v Juan Carlos FERRERO Del Potro WIN @ 1.14 (+1.4)
WON Jo-Wilfried TSONGA v Fernando GONZALEZ Lay Tsonga @ 1.7 (+10)

Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = £15.60

US Open 4th round matches

2009-09-07T07:17:00.001+01:00

Robin SODERLING v Nikolay DAVYDENKO No bet
Roger FEDERER v Tommy ROBREDO Federer WIN @ 1.04
Fernando VERDASCO v John ISNER Lay Verdasco @ 1.54
Novak DJOKOVIC v Radek STEPANEK Djokovic WIN @ 1.32
Rafael NADAL v Gael MONFILS Nadal WIN @ 1.6
Juan Martin DEL POTRO v Juan Carlos FERRERO Del Potro WIN @ 1.14
Jo-Wilfried TSONGA v Fernando GONZALEZ Lay Tsonga @ 1.7
Andy MURRAY v Marin CILIC No bet

US Open 3rd round results, Saturday/Sunday

2009-09-07T07:16:00.001+01:00

WON Novak DJOKOVIC v Jesse WITTEN Djokovic WIN @ 1.04 (+0.4)
WON Roger FEDERER v Lleyton HEWITT Federer WIN @ 1.05 (+0.5)
WON Nikolay DAVYDENKO v Marco CHIUDINELLI Davydenko WIN @ 1.08 (+0.8)
WON Fernando VERDASCO v Tommy HAAS Lay Verdasco 3-0 @ 4.1 (+3.23)
WON Robin SODERLING v Sam QUERREY Lay Querrey 3-0 @ 9.0 (+1.25)
WON James BLAKE v Tommy ROBREDO Lay Blake 3-0 @ 4.4 (+2.94)
WON Rafael NADAL v Nicolas ALMAGRO Nadal WIN @ 1.05 (+0.5)
VOID Gilles SIMON v Juan Carlos FERRERO Lay Simon 3-0 @ 4.1
WON Fernando GONZALEZ v Tomas BERDYCH Gonzalez WIN @ 1.69 (+6.9)
WON Jo-Wilfried TSONGA v Julien BENNETEAU Tsonga WIN @ 1.19 (+1.9)
WON Juan Martin DEL POTRO v Daniel KOELLERER Del Potro WIN @ 1.04 (+0.4)
WON Gael MONFILS v Jose ACASUSO Lay Acasuso 3-0 @ 19.0 (+0.55)
WON Marin CILIC v Denis ISTOMIN Cilic WIN @ 1.16 (+1.6)
WON Taylor DENT v Andy MURRAY Murray WIN @ 1.04 (+0.4)

Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = £21.37

US Open 3rd Round, Saturday/Sunday

2009-09-05T15:18:00.003+01:00

Novak DJOKOVIC v Jesse WITTEN Djokovic WIN @ 1.04
Radek STEPANEK v Philipp KOHLSCREIBER No bet
Roger FEDERER v Lleyton HEWITT Federer WIN @ 1.05
Nikolay DAVYDENKO v Marco CHIUDINELLI Davydenko WIN @ 1.08
Fernando VERDASCO v Tommy HAAS Lay Verdasco 3-0 @ 4.1
Andy RODDICK v John ISNER No bet
Robin SODERLING v Sam QUERREY Lay Querrey 3-0 @ 9.0
James BLAKE v Tommy ROBREDO Lay Blake 3-0 @ 4.4
Rafael NADAL v Nicolas ALMAGRO Nadal WIN @ 1.05
Gilles SIMON v Juan Carlos FERRERO Lay Simon 3-0 @ 4.1
Fernando GONZALEZ v Tomas BERDYCH Gonzalez WIN @ 1.69
Jo-Wilfried TSONGA v Julien BENNETEAU Tsonga WIN @ 1.19
Juan Martin DEL POTRO v Daniel KOELLERER Del Potro WIN @ 1.04
Gael MONFILS v Jose ACASUSO Lay Acasuso 3-0 @ 19.0
Marin CILIC v Denis ISTOMIN Cilic WIN @ 1.16
Taylor DENT v Andy MURRAY Murray WIN @ 1.04

US Open 2nd round results

2009-09-05T09:15:00.003+01:00

WON Rafael NADAL v Nicolas KIEFER Nadal WIN @ 1.04 (+0.4)
LOST Julien BENNETEAU v Viktor TROICKI Troicki WIN @ 2.3 (-10)
LOST Jo-Wilfried TSONGA v Jarkko NIEMINEN Lay Tsonga 3-0 @ 1.4 (-4)
WON Fernando GONZALEZ v Josselin OUANNA Lay Gonzalez 3-0 @ 1.5 (+10)
WON Pablo CUEVAS v Daniel KOELLERER Lay Cuevas 3-0 @ 3.2 (+4.54)
WON Marin CILIC v Jesse LEVINE Cilic WIN @ 1.18 (+1.8)
WON David FERRER v Jose ACASUSO Acasuso WIN @ 3.4 (+24)
LOST Jesse WITTEN v Maximo GONZALEZ Gonzalez WIN @ 2.6 (-10)
WON Andy MURRAY v Paul CAPDEVILLE Murray WIN @ 1.02 (+0.2)
WON Sam QUERREY v Kevin KIM Querrey WIN @ 1.13 (+1.3)
LOST Tommy HAAS v Robert KENDRICK Lay Haas 3-0 @ 2.4 (-10)
WON Tomas BERDYCH v Horacio ZEBALLOS Berdych WIN @ 1.18 (+1.8)
WON Novak DJOKOVIC v Carsten BALL Djokovic WIN @ 1.05 (+0.5)
WON Andy RODDICK v Marc GICQUEL Roddick WIN @ 1.05 (+0.5)
VOID Robin SODERLING v Marcel GRANOLLERS Soderling WIN @ 1.07
WON Nikolay DAVYDENKO v Jan HERNYCH Davydenko WIN @ 1.09 (+0.9)
LOST Philipp KOHLSCHREIBER v Somdev DEVARRMAN Kohlschreiber 3-0 @ 2.1 (-10)
WON Juan Martin DEL POTRO v Jurgen MELZER Del Potro WIN @ 1.05 (+0.5)
WON Tommy ROBREDO v Guillermo GARCIA-LOPEZ Robredo WIN @ 1.54 (+5.4)
WON John ISNER v Marsel ILHAN Isner WIN @ 1.19 (+1.9)
LOST Radek STEPANEK v Leonardo MAYER Lay Stepanek 3-0 @ 3.2 (-10)

Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = -£0.26

US Open 2nd round matches

2009-09-03T01:14:00.001+01:00

Rafael NADAL v Nicolas KIEFER Nadal WIN @ 1.04
Taylor DENT v Ivan NAVARRO No bet
Nicolas LAPENTTI v Denis ISTOMIN No bet
Julien BENNETEAU v Viktor TROICKI Troicki WIN @ 2.3
Jo-Wilfried TSONGA v Jarkko NIEMINEN Lay Tsonga 3-0 @ 1.4
Fernando GONZALEZ v Josselin OUANNA Lay Gonzalez 3-0 @ 1.5
Pablo CUEVAS v Daniel KOELLERER Lay Cuevas 3-0 @ 3.2
Marin CILIC v Jesse LEVINE Cilic WIN @ 1.18
Gael MONFILS v Andreas BECK No bet
Gilles SIMON v Thomaz BELLUCCI No bet
David FERRER v Jose ACASUSO Acasuso WIN @ 3.4
Jesse WITTEN v Maximo GONZALEZ Gonzalez WIN @ 2.6
Andy MURRAY v Paul CAPDEVILLE Murray WIN @ 1.02
Sam QUERREY v Kevin KIM Querrey WIN @ 1.13
Tommy HAAS v Robert KENDRICK Lay Haas 3-0 @ 2.4
Tomas BERDYCH v Horacio ZEBALLOS Berdych WIN @ 1.18
Fernando VERDASCO v Florent SERRA No bet
Novak DJOKOVIC v Carsten BALL Djokovic WIN @ 1.05
Andy RODDICK v Marc GICQUEL Roddick WIN @ 1.05
Robin SODERLING v Marcel GRANOLLERS Soderling WIN @ 1.07
Nikolay DAVYDENKO v Jan HERNYCH Davydenko WIN @ 1.09
Philipp KOHLSCHREIBER v Somdev DEVARRMAN Kohlschreiber 3-0 @ 2.1
Juan Martin DEL POTRO v Jurgen MELZER Del Potro WIN @ 1.05
Tommy ROBREDO v Guillermo GARCIA-LOPEZ Robredo WIN @ 1.54
John ISNER v Marsel ILHAN Isner WIN @ 1.19
James BLAKE v Olivier ROCHUS No bet
Mikhail YOUZHNY v Marco CHIUDINELLI No bet
Radek STEPANEK v Leonardo MAYER Lay Stepanek 3-0 @ 3.2

US Open 1st round results

2009-09-02T23:24:00.006+01:00

LOST Rainer SCHUETTLER v Jan HERNYCH Schuettler 3-0 @ 5.2 (-10)
LOST Simon GREUL v Giovanni LAPENTTI Greul 3-0 @ 6.2 (-10)
WON Guillermo GARCIA-LOPEZ v Peter POLANSKY Garcia-Lopez WIN @ 1.44 (+4.4)
LOST Paul-Henri MATHIEU v Mikhail YOUZHNY Mathieu 3-0 @ 5.9 (-10)
WON Mischa ZVEREV v Marcel GRANOLLERS Lay Zverev @ 1.66 (+10)
LOST Frederico GIL v Somdev DEVVARMAN Gil 3-0 @ 5.2 (-10)
WON John ISNER v Victor HANESCU Isner 3-0 @ 5.0 (+40)
WON Nikolay DAVYDENKO v Dieter KINDLMANN Davydenko WIN @ 1.04 (+0.4)
WON Tommy ROBREDO v Donald YOUNG Lay Robredo 3-0 @ 2.54 (+6.49)
WON Roger FEDERER v Devin BRITTON Federer 3-0 @ 1.07 (+0.7)
LOST Juan Ignacio CHELA v Oscar HERNANDEZ Lay Chela 3-0 @ 2.54 (-10)
WON Tommy HAAS v Alejandro FALLA Lay Haas 3-0 @ 1.9 (+10)
LOST Robert KENDRICK v Martin VASSALLO-ARGUELLO Lay Kendrick 3-0 @ 2.06 (-10)
LOST Philipp KOHLSCHREIBER v Andreas SEPPI Lay Kohlschreiber @ 1.62 (-6.2)
WON Igor KUNITSYN v Olivier ROCHUS Lay Kunitsyn @ 1.75 (+10)
LOST Lleyton HEWITT v Thiago ALVES Lay Hewitt @ 1.05 (-0.5)
WON James BLAKE v Ruben R-HIDALGO Blake WIN @ 1.11 (+1.1)
WON Marc GICQUEL v Dmitry TURSUNOV Lay Gicquel 3-0 @ 4.2 (+3.13)
LOST Leonardo MAYER v Andrey GOLUBEV Lay Mayer @ 1.47 (-4.7)
WON Andy RODDICK v Bjorn PHAU Roddick WIN @ 1.03 (+0.3)
LOST Radek STEPANEK v Simone BOLELLI Lay Stepanek 3-0 @ 2.82 (-10)
WON David FERRER v Alberto MARTIN Ferrer WIN @ 1.06 (+0.6)
WON Gilles SIMON v Daniel GIMENO-TRAVER Simon WIN @ 1.08 (+0.8)
VOID Mardy FISH v Daniel KOELLERER Lay Fish 3-0 @ 2.0
LOST Fernando VERDASCO v Benjamin BECKER Lay Verdasco 3-0 @ 1.69 (-6.9)
WON Andy MURRAY v Ernests GULBIS Murray WIN @ 1.04 (+0.4)
LOST Denis ISTOMIN v Brendan EVANS Lay Istomin 3-0 @ 3.2 (-10)
LOST Andreas BECK v Evgeny KOROLEV Lay Beck @ 1.59 (-5.9)
WON Feliciano LOPEZ v Taylor DENT Lay Lopez @ 1.54 (+10)
WON Julien BENNETEAU v Flavio CIPOLLA Lay Benneteau 3-0 @ 2.1 (+9.09)
LOST Janko TIPSAREVIC v Florent SERRA Tipsarevic 3-0 @ 4.1 (-10)
LOST Gael MONFILS v Jeremy CHARDY Lay Monfils 3-0 @ 3.6 (-10)
LOST Ivo KARLOVIC v Ivan NAVARRO Karlovic WIN @ 1.18 (-10)
WON Jarkko NIEMINEN v Fabio FOGNINI Nieminen 3-0 @ 4.1 (+31)
WON Jo-Wilfried TSONGA v Chase BUCHANAN Tsonga WIN @ 1.03 (+0.3)
LOST Juan Carlos FERRERO v Fabrice SANTORO Lay Ferrero 3-0 @ 2.3 (-10)
LOST Juan Martin DEL POTRO v Juan MONACO Lay Del Potro @ 1.07 (-0.7)
LOST Jurgen MELZER v Marat SAFIN Lay Melzer @ 1.75 (-7.5)
LOST Karol BECK v Maximo GONZALEZ Beck WIN @ 1.42 (-10)
LOST Dudi SELA v Kevin KIM Sela WIN @ 1.38 (-10)
LOST Jose ACASUSO v Marcos DANIEL Lay Acasuso 3-0 @ 2.1 (-10)
LOST Marin CILIC v Ryan SWEETING Lay Cilic 3-0 @ 1.62 (-6.2)
WON Nicolas KIEFER v Michael LLODRA Kiefer WIN @ 1.42 (+4.2)
WON Nicolas ALMAGRO v Steve DARCIS Lay Almagro 3-0 @ 2.1 (+9.09)
LOST Stanislas WAWRINKA v Nicolas LAPENTTI Wawrinka WIN @ 1.15 (-10)
LOST Viktor TROICKI v Peter LUCZAK Troicki 3-0 @ 4.1 (-10)
LOST Yen-Hsun LU v Thomaz BELLUCCI Lu 3-0 @ 5.2 (-10)
LOST Fernando GONZALEZ v Nicolas MASSU Lay Gonzalez 3-0 @ 1.7 (-7)
WON Sam QUERREY v Michael YANI Querrey WIN @ 1.08 (+0.8)
LOST Novak DJOKOVIC v Ivan LJUBICIC Lay Djokovic 3-0 @ 1.4 (-4)
WON Chris GUCCIONE v Pablo CUEVAS Lay Guccione @ 1.62 (+10)
LOST Paul CAPDEVILLE v Victor CRIVOI Lay Capdeville 3-0 @ 2.6 (-10)
WON Philipp PETZSCHNER v Sergiy STAKHOVSKY Petzschner WIN @ 1.45 (+4.5)
LOST Rafael NADAL v Richard GASQUET Lay Nadal 3-0 @ 1.54 (-5.4)
WON Carsten BALL v Juan Pablo BRZEZICKI Ball WIN @ 1.5 (+5)
WON Robby GINEPRI v Andrei PAVEL Ginepri WIN @ 1.16 (+1.6)
WON Jesse LEVINE v Teimuraz GABASHVILI Levine 3-0 @ 4.1 (+31)
LOST Michael BERRER v Horacio ZEBALLOS Berrer 3-0 @ 4.2 (-10)
LOST Tomas BERDYCH v Wayne ODESNIK Lay Berdych 3-0 @ 1.5 (-5)
WON Igor ANDREEV v Jesse WITTEN Lay Andreev 3-0 @ 1.5 (+10)

Total profit on stake of £10.00 on each bet = -45.10

US Open 1st round matches

2009-08-30T12:52:00.012+01:00

The US Open tennis is about to start. Here are my predictions using analysis of previous match odds. Because of odds changes I have amended the bets marked with a *.

Rainer SCHUETTLER v Jan HERNYCH Schuettler 3-0 @ 5.2
Simon GREUL v Giovanni LAPENTTI Greul 3-0 @ 6.2
Guillermo GARCIA-LOPEZ v Peter POLANSKY Garcia-Lopez WIN @ 1.44
Robin SODERLING v Albert MONTANES No bet
Paul-Henri MATHIEU v Mikhail YOUZHNY Mathieu 3-0 @ 5.9
*Potito STARACE v Marco CHIUDINELLI No bet
Mischa ZVEREV v Marcel GRANOLLERS Lay Zverev @ 1.66
Frederico GIL v Somdev DEVVARMAN Gil 3-0 @ 5.2
John ISNER v Victor HANESCU Isner 3-0 @ 5.0
*Marsel ILHAN v Christophe ROCHUS No bet
Nikolay DAVYDENKO v Dieter KINDLMANN Davydenko WIN @ 1.04
Tommy ROBREDO v Donald YOUNG Lay Robredo 3-0 @ 2.54
Roger FEDERER v Devin BRITTON Federer 3-0 @ 1.07
Juan Ignacio CHELA v Oscar HERNANDEZ Lay Chela 3-0 @ 2.54
Tommy HAAS v Alejandro FALLA Lay Haas 3-0 @ 1.9
Robert KENDRICK v Martin VASSALLO-ARGUELLO Lay Kendrick 3-0 @ 2.06
Philipp KOHLSCHREIBER v Andreas SEPPI Lay Kohlschreiber @ 1.62
Igor KUNITSYN v Olivier ROCHUS Lay Kunitsyn @ 1.75
Lleyton HEWITT v Thiago ALVES Lay Hewitt @ 1.05
James BLAKE v Ruben R-HIDALGO Blake WIN @ 1.11
Marc GICQUEL v Dmitry TURSUNOV Lay Gicquel 3-0 @ 4.2
Leonardo MAYER v Andrey GOLUBEV Lay Mayer @ 1.47
Andy RODDICK v Bjorn PHAU Roddick WIN @ 1.03
Radek STEPANEK v Simone BOLELLI Lay Stepanek 3-0 @ 2.82
David FERRER v Alberto MARTIN Ferrer WIN @ 1.06
Gilles SIMON v Daniel GIMENO-TRAVER Simon WIN @ 1.08
Mardy FISH v Daniel KOELLERER Lay Fish 3-0 @ 2.0
Fernando VERDASCO v Benjamin BECKER Lay Verdasco 3-0 @ 1.69
Andy MURRAY v Ernests GULBIS Murray WIN @ 1.04
Denis ISTOMIN v Brendan EVANS Lay Istomin 3-0 @ 3.2
Andreas BECK v Evgeny KOROLEV Lay Beck @ 1.59
Feliciano LOPEZ v Taylor DENT Lay Lopez @ 1.54
Julien BENNETEAU v Flavio CIPOLLA Lay Benneteau 3-0 @ 2.1
Janko TIPSAREVIC v Florent SERRA Tipsarevic 3-0 @ 4.1
Gael MONFILS v Jeremy CHARDY Lay Monfils 3-0 @ 3.6
Ivo KARLOVIC v Ivan NAVARRO Karlovic WIN @ 1.18
Jarkko NIEMINEN v Fabio FOGNINI Nieminen 3-0 @ 4.1
Jo-Wilfried TSONGA v Chase BUCHANAN Tsonga WIN @ 1.03
Juan Carlos FERRERO v Fabrice SANTORO Lay Ferrero 3-0 @ 2.3
Juan Martin DEL POTRO v Juan MONACO Lay Del Potro @ 1.07
Jurgen MELZER v Marat SAFIN Lay Melzer @ 1.75
Karol BECK v Maximo GONZALEZ Beck WIN @ 1.42
Dudi SELA v Kevin KIM Sela WIN @ 1.38
Jose ACASUSO v Marcos DANIEL Lay Acasuso 3-0 @ 2.1
Marin CILIC v Ryan SWEETING Lay Cilic 3-0 @ 1.62
Nicolas KIEFER v Michael LLODRA Kiefer WIN @ 1.42
Nicolas ALMAGRO v Steve DARCIS Lay Almagro 3-0 @ 2.1
Stanislas WAWRINKA v Nicolas LAPENTTI Wawrinka WIN @ 1.15
Viktor TROICKI v Peter LUCZAK Troicki 3-0 @ 4.1
Yen-Hsun LU v Thomaz BELLUCCI Lu 3-0 @ 5.2
Fernando GONZALEZ v Nicolas MASSU Lay Gonzalez 3-0 @ 1.7
Sam QUERREY v Michael YANI Querrey WIN @ 1.08
Novak DJOKOVIC v Ivan LJUBICIC Lay Djokovic 3-0 @ 1.4
Chris GUCCIONE v Pablo CUEVAS Lay Guccione @ 1.62
Paul CAPDEVILLE v Victor CRIVOI Lay Capdeville 3-0 @ 2.6
Philipp PETZSCHNER v Sergiy STAKHOVSKY Petzschner WIN @ 1.45
Rafael NADAL v Richard GASQUET Lay Nadal 3-0 @ 1.54
Carsten BALL v Juan Pablo BRZEZICKI Ball WIN @ 1.5
Robby GINEPRI v Andrei PAVEL Ginepri WIN @ 1.16
Jesse LEVINE v Teimuraz GABASHVILI Levine 3-0 @ 4.1
Michael BERRER v Horacio ZEBALLOS Berrer 3-0 @ 4.2
Tomas BERDYCH v Wayne ODESNIK Lay Berdych 3-0 @ 1.5
Igor ANDREEV v Jesse WITTEN Lay Andreev 3-0 @ 1.5
Rajeev RAM v Josselin OUANNA No bet

English football results, Saturday

2009-08-28T17:53:00.000+01:00

WON Arsenal v Portsmouth Arsenal WIN @ 1.2 (+2)
WON Leeds Utd v Tranmere Rovers Leeds WIN @ 1.55 (+5.5)
LOST Northampton Town v Bournemouth Lay Northampton @ 2.7 (-10)

Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = -2.50

Football profit graph

2009-08-22T11:52:00.001+01:00

Here is a graph to show that, using an average of odds from five different bookmakers, you would have made a profit by laying the home side with a £10 stake in every match for the 2008/9 season.

I won't reveal which line refers to each specific league, however, you can see that a profit would have been made for each and every league from the Premiership to League 2.

This is a common pattern throughout the previous 5 years, however, other European leagues do not show the same pattern.

English football, Saturday

2009-08-22T11:36:00.000+01:00

Arsenal v Portsmouth Arsenal WIN @ 1.2
Leeds Utd v Tranmere Rovers Leeds WIN @ 1.55
Northampton Town v Bournemouth Lay Northampton @ 2.7

Rogers Cup 2nd Round results, Wednesday/Thursday

2009-08-22T10:24:00.001+01:00

LOST Tommy HAAS v Fernando GONZALEZ Lay Gonzalez @ 1.85 (-8.5)
VOID Rafael NADAL v David FERRER Nadal WIN @ 1.32

Total profit on £10 stake on each bet = -8.50

Rogers Cup 2nd Round matches, Wednesday/Thursday

2009-08-12T22:35:00.004+01:00

Tommy HAAS v Fernando GONZALEZ Lay Gonzalez @ 1.85
Rafael NADAL v David FERRER Nadal WIN @ 1.32

Rogers Cup 2nd Round results, Tuesday

2009-08-12T08:10:00.001+01:00

LOST Paul Henri MATHIEU v Nikolay DAVYDENKO Lay Davydenko @ 1.35 (-3.5)
LOST Andy MURRAY v Jeremy CHARDY Lay Murray @ 1.08 (-0.8)

Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = -£4.30

Rogers Cup, 1st Round results, Tuesday

2009-08-12T07:46:00.003+01:00

WON Radek STEPANEK v Andrey GOLUBEV Lay Stepanek @ 1.4 (+10)
WON Dudi SELA v Alejandro FALLA Lay Sela @ 1.62 (+10)
LOST Fernando VERDASCO v Feliciano LOPEZ Lay Verdasco @ 1.36 (-3.6)
WON Julien BENNETEAU v Jan HERNYCH Lay Benneteau @ 1.74 (+10)
LOST John ISNER v Jesse LEVINE Lay Isner @ 1.5 (-5)
WON Lleyton HEWITT v Juan Carlos FERRERO Lay Hewitt @ 1.7 (+10)
WON Tomas BERDYCH v Philipp KOHLSCHREIBER Lay Berdych @ 1.9 (+10)
WON Jurgen MELZER v Victor HANESCU Lay Melzer @ 1.74 (+10)
LOST David FERRER v Viktor TROICKI Lay Ferrer @ 1.3 (-3)

Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = £46.40

Rogers Cup, 2nd Round matches, Tuesday

2009-08-11T08:00:00.003+01:00

Paul Henri MATHIEU v Nikolay DAVYDENKO Lay Davydenko @ 1.35
Andy MURRAY v Jeremy CHARDY Lay Murray @ 1.08

Rogers Cup, 1st Round matches, Tuesday

2009-08-11T07:49:00.003+01:00

Radek STEPANEK v Andrey GOLUBEV Lay Stepanek @ 1.4
Dudi SELA v Alejandro FALLA Lay Sela @ 1.62
Fernando VERDASCO v Feliciano LOPEZ Lay Verdasco @ 1.36
Julien BENNETEAU v Jan HERNYCH Lay Benneteau @ 1.74
John ISNER v Jesse LEVINE Lay Isner @ 1.5
Lleyton HEWITT v Juan Carlos FERRERO Lay Hewitt @ 1.7
Tomas BERDYCH v Philipp KOHLSCHREIBER Lay Berdych @ 1.9
Jurgen MELZER v Victor HANESCU Lay Melzer @ 1.74
David FERRER v Viktor TROICKI Lay Ferrer @ 1.3

Rogers Cup 1st Round results, Monday

2009-08-11T07:44:00.004+01:00

VOID Dmitry TURSUNOV v Igor ANDREEV Lay Andreev @ 1.64
WON Marin CILIC v Mikhail YOUZHNY Lay Cilic @ 1.5 (+10)
WON Rainer SCHUETTLER v Florent SERRA Lay Serra @ 1.78 (+10)
LOST Yen Hsun LU v Jeremy CHARDY Lay Chardy @ 1.4 (-4)
LOST Stanislas WAWRINKA v Nicolas KIEFER Lay Wawrinka @ 1.69 (-6.9)
LOST Marat SAFIN v Gael MONFILS Lay Monfils @ 1.73 (-7.3)
LOST Gilles SIMON v Frank DANCEVIC Lay Simon @ 1.78 (-7.8)
LOST Leonardo MAYER v Mischa ZVEREV Lay Mayer @ 1.9 (-1.9)

Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = -£7.90

Rogers Cup, 1st Round matches, Monday

2009-08-10T16:00:00.006+01:00

Dmitry TURSUNOV v Igor ANDREEV Lay Andreev @ 1.64
Marin CILIC v Mikhail YOUZHNY Lay Cilic @ 1.5
Rainer SCHUETTLER v Florent SERRA Lay Serra @ 1.78
Yen Hsun LU v Jeremy CHARDY Lay Chardy @ 1.4
Stanislas WAWRINKA v Nicolas KIEFER Lay Wawrinka @ 1.69
Marat SAFIN v Gael MONFILS Lay Monfils @ 1.73
Gilles SIMON v Frank DANCEVIC Lay Simon @ 1.78
Leonardo MAYER v Mischa ZVEREV Lay Mayer @ 1.9

Campbell's Hall of Fame 1st Round results, Tuesday

2009-07-13T00:45:00.002+01:00

LOST Kevin KIM v Sebastien GROSJEAN Lay Kim @ 1.82 (-8.2)
WON Frank DANCEVIC v Sergiy STAKHOVSKY Lay Dancevic @ 1.52 (+10)

Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = +1.80

Campbell's Hall of Fame 1st Round matches, Tuesday

2009-07-07T07:39:00.003+01:00

Kevin KIM v Sebastien GROSJEAN Lay Kim @ 1.82
Frank DANCEVIC v Sergiy STAKHOVSKY Lay Dancevic @ 1.52

Wimbledon SF results, Friday

2009-07-07T07:35:00.002+01:00

WON Tommy HAAS v Roger FEDERER Federer 3-0 @ 1.78 (+7.8)

Total profit on £10 stake on each bet = +£7.80

Wimbledon SF matches, Friday

2009-07-03T13:36:00.002+01:00

Tommy HAAS v Roger FEDERER Federer 3-0 @ 1.78

Wimbledon QF results, Wednesday

2009-07-03T13:28:00.002+01:00

WON Tommy HAAS v Novak DJOKOVIC Lay Djokovic @ 1.42 (+10)
WON Ivo KARLOVIC v Roger FEDERER Federer WIN @ 1.1 (+1)
WON Andy MURRAY v Juan Carlos FERRERO Murray WIN @ 1.12 (+1.2)
LOST Lleyton HEWITT v Andy RODDICK Lay Roddick @ 1.4 (-4)

Total profit on £10 stake on each bet = +8.20

Wimbledon QF matches, Wednesday

2009-07-01T08:26:00.002+01:00

Tommy HAAS v Novak DJOKOVIC Lay Djokovic @ 1.42
Ivo KARLOVIC v Roger FEDERER Federer WIN @ 1.1
Andy MURRAY v Juan Carlos FERRERO Murray WIN @ 1.12
Lleyton HEWITT v Andy RODDICK Lay Roddick @ 1.4

If you'd backed the top players

2009-06-30T11:13:00.002+01:00

What would you have won by backing the top players in all of their matches since 2005? Not including the grass court season this year, here are the stats.

Simon +493.54
Murray +397.87
Tsonga +138.56
Djokovic +94.42
Nadal +90.29
Gonzalez +61.00
Del Potro +1.46
Federer -104.12
Verdasco -134.26
Roddick -168.99

Wimbledon 4th Round results, Saturday

2009-06-30T11:04:00.002+01:00

LOST Igor ANDREEV v Tommy HAAS Lay Haas @ 1.38 (-3.8)
WON Robin SODERLING v Roger FEDERER Federer 3-0 @ 1.62 (+6.2)
WON Novak DJOKOVIC v Dudi SELA Djokovic 3-0 @ 1.62 (+6.2)
LOST Fernando VERDASCO v Ivo KARLOVIC Lay Karlovic @ 1.73 (-7.3)
WON Lleyton HEWITT v Radek STEPANEK Lay Hewitt 3-0 @ 2.6 (+6.25)
LOST Juan Carlos FERRERO v Gilles SIMON Lay Ferrero @ 1.9 (-9)
LOST Andy MURRAY v Stanislas WAWRINKA Murray 3-0 @ 1.7 (-7)
WON Tomas BERDYCH v Andy RODDICK Roddick WIN @ 1.62 (+6.2)

Total profit on £10 stake on each bet = -2.25

Wimbledon 4th Round matches, Monday

2009-06-29T09:53:00.000+01:00

Igor ANDREEV v Tommy HAAS Lay Haas @ 1.38
Robin SODERLING v Roger FEDERER Federer 3-0 @ 1.62
Novak DJOKOVIC v Dudi SELA Djokovic 3-0 @ 1.62
Fernando VERDASCO v Ivo KARLOVIC Lay Karlovic @ 1.73
Lleyton HEWITT v Radek STEPANEK Lay Hewitt 3-0 @ 2.6
Juan Carlos FERRERO v Gilles SIMON Lay Ferrero @ 1.9
Andy MURRAY v Stanislas WAWRINKA Murray 3-0 @ 1.7
Tomas BERDYCH v Andy RODDICK Roddick WIN @ 1.62

Wimbledon 3rd Round results, Saturday

2009-06-28T06:26:00.004+01:00

WON Lleyton HEWITT v Philipp PETZSCHNER Hewitt WIN @ 1.12 (+1.2)
WON Andy RODDICK v Jurgen MELZER Roddick WIN @ 1.1 (+1.0)
WON Victor HANESCU v Gilles SIMON Simon WIN @ 1.83 (+8.3)
WON Andy MURRAY v Viktor TROICKI Murray WIN @ 1.03 (+0.3)
WON Fernando GONZALEZ v Juan Carlos FERRERO Lay Gonzalez @ 1.54 (+10)

Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = +20.80

Wimbledon 3rd Round matches, Saturday

2009-06-27T10:16:00.001+01:00

Lleyton HEWITT v Philipp PETZSCHNER Hewitt WIN @ 1.12
Andy RODDICK v Jurgen MELZER Roddick WIN @ 1.1
Victor HANESCU v Gilles SIMON Simon WIN @ 1.83
Andy MURRAY v Viktor TROICKI Murray WIN @ 1.03
Fernando GONZALEZ v Juan Carlos FERRERO Lay Gonzalez @ 1.54

Wimbledon 3rd Round results, Friday

2009-06-27T09:46:00.003+01:00

WON Ivo KARLOVIC v Jo-Wilfried TSONGA Lay Tsonga @ 1.54 (+10)
WON Fernando V'SCO v Albert MONTANES Verdasco WIN @ 1.12 (+1.2)
Tommy HAAS v Marin CILIC Lay Haas @ 1.7 (-7)
LOST Philipp K'BER v Roger FEDERER Federer WIN 3-0 @ 1.36 (-10)

Total profit on £10 stake = -5.8

Wimbledon 3rd Round matches, Friday

2009-06-26T10:05:00.004+01:00

Philipp K'BER v Roger FEDERER Federer WIN 3-0 @ 1.36
Fernando V'SCO v Albert MONTANES Verdasco WIN @ 1.12
Ivo KARLOVIC v Jo-Wilfried TSONGA Lay Tsonga @ 1.54
Tommy HAAS v Marin CILIC Lay Haas @ 1.7

All others are no bets today.

Wimbledon 2nd Round results, Thursday

2009-06-26T08:54:00.003+01:00

WON Jurgen MELZER v Benjamin BECKER Lay Becker @ 1.87 (+10)
WON Juan Martin DEL POTRO v Lleyton HEWITT Lay Del Potro @ 1.4 (+10)
LOST Nikolay DAVYDENKO v Victor CRIVOI Lay Davydenko 3-0 @ 1.57 (-5.7)
LOST Thiago ALVES v Gilles SIMON Simon 3-0 @ 1.8 (-8)
WON Igor KUNITSYN v Andy RODDICK Roddick WIN @ 1.04 (+0.4)
LOST Victor TROICKI v Daniel GIMENO-TRAVER Lay Troicki @ 1.17 (-1.7)
LOST Juan Carlos FERRERO v Fabrice SANTORO Lay Ferrero @ 1.5 (-5)
WON Radek STEPANEK v Potito STARACE Stepanek WIN @ 1.13 (+1.3)
LOST Andy MURRAY v Ernests GULBIS Lay Murray 3-0 @ 1.72 (-7.2)
LOST Fernando GONZALEZ v Leonardo MAYER Lay Gonzalez @ 1.26 (-2.6)
LOST Pablo CUEVAS v Jesse LEVINE Lay Levine @ 1.5 (-5)
WON Stanislas WAWRINKA v Martin V-ARGUELLO Wawrinka 3-0 @ 1.73 (+10)

Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = -3.50

Wimbledon 2nd Round, Thursday

2009-06-25T10:18:00.002+01:00

Jurgen MELZER v Benjamin BECKER Lay Becker @ 1.87
Juan Martin DEL POTRO v Lleyton HEWITT Lay Del Potro @ 1.4
Nikolay DAV'KO v Victor CRIVOI Lay Davydenko 3-0 @ 1.57
Thiago ALVES v Gilles SIMON Simon 3-0 @ 1.8
Igor KUNITSYN v Andy RODDICK Roddick WIN @ 1.04
Victor TROICKI v Daniel GIMENO-TRAVER Lay Troicki @ 1.17
Juan Carlos FERRERO v Fabrice SANTORO Lay Ferrero @ 1.5
Radek STEPANEK v Potito STARACE Stepanek WIN @ 1.13
Andy MURRAY v Ernests GULBIS Lay Murray 3-0 @ 1.72
Fernando GONZALEZ v Leonardo MAYER Lay Gonzalez @ 1.26
Pablo CUEVAS v Jesse LEVINE Lay Levine @ 1.5
Stanislas WAWRINKA v Martin V-ARGUELLO Wawrinka 3-0 @ 1.73

Wimbledon 2nd Round results, Wednesday

2009-06-25T09:09:00.003+01:00

LOST Mardy FISH v Janko TIPSAREVIC Lay Fish @ 1.67 (-6.7)
LOST Tommy ROBREDO v Stefan KOUBEK Robredo 3-0 @ 2.1 (-10)
WON Simon GREUL v Novak DJOKOVIC Djokovic WIN @ 1.05 (+0.5)
LOST Fernando VERDASCO v Kristof VLIEGEN Verdasco 3-0 @ 1.9 (-10)
WON Guillermo CANAS v Albert MONTANES Lay Canas @ 1.69 (+10)
WON Guillermo GARCIA-LOPEZ v Roger FEDERER Federer 3-0 @ 1.24 (+2.4)
WON Philipp KOHLSCHREIBER v Ivo MINAR Kohlschreiber WIN @ 1.12 (+1.2)
WON Ivo KARLOVIC v Steve DARCIS Lay Darcis 3-1 @ 11.5 (+0.95)
WON Nicolas ALMAGRO v Karol BECK Lay Almagro 3-0 @ 6.4 (+1.85)
WON Robin SODERLING v Marcel GRANOLLERS Soderling WIN @ 1.1 (+1)
VOID Simone BOLELLI v Jo-Wilfried TSONGA Lay Tsonga @ 1.13
LOST Sam QUERREY v Marin CILIC Lay Cilic @ 1.49 (-4.9)
LOST Andreas SEPPI v Marc GICQUEL Lay Seppi @ 1.67 (-6.7)

Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = -20.40

Wimbledon 2nd Round, Wednesday

2009-06-24T08:20:00.005+01:00

Never the easiest round to predict at Wimbledon, but this is what the stats say -

Mardy FISH v Janko TIPSAREVIC Lay Fish @ 1.67
Tommy ROBREDO v Stefan KOUBEK Robredo 3-0 @ 2.1
Fernando VERDASCO v Kristof VLIEGEN Verdasco 3-0 @ 1.9
Simon GREUL v Novak DJOKOVIC Djokovic WIN @ 1.05
Guillermo CANAS v Albert MONTANES Lay Canas @ 1.69
Guillermo G-LOPEZ v Roger FEDERER Federer 3-0 @ 1.24
Philipp K'BER v Ivo MINAR Kohlschreiber WIN @ 1.12
Ivo KARLOVIC v Steve DARCIS Lay Darcis 3-1 @ 11.5
Nicolas ALMAGRO v Karol BECK Lay Almagro 3-0 @ 6.4
Robin SODERLING v Marcel GRANOLLERS Soderling WIN @ 1.1
Simone BOLELLI v Jo-Wilfried TSONGA Lay Tsonga @ 1.13
Sam QUERREY v Marin CILIC Lay Cilic @ 1.49
Andreas SEPPI v Marc GICQUEL Lay Seppi @ 1.67

Any matches not included are no bets.

Wimbledon First Round results, Tuesday

2009-06-23T20:46:00.005+01:00

WON Fernando GONZALEZ v Teimuraz GABASHVILI Gonzalez WIN @ 1.1 (+1)
LOST Nicolas DEVILDER v Nicolas LAPENTTI Lapentti WIN @ 1.5 (-5)
WON Nikolay DAVYDENKO v Daniel EVANS Davydenko WIN @ 1.11 (+1.1)
LOST Oscar HERNANDEZ v Leonardo MAYER Lay Mayer @ 1.33 (-3.3)
WON Victor CRIVOI v Bjorn PHAU Lay Phau @ 1.4 (+10)
LOST Alex BOGDANOVIC v Tomas BERDYCH Lay Berdych @ 1.17 (-1.7)
LOST Benjamin BECKER v Roko KARANUSIC Lay Becker @ 1.4 (-4)
WON Fabio FOGNINI v Denis ISTOMIN Lay Istomin @ 1.36 (+10)
LOST Frederico GIL v Paul-Henri MATHIEU Lay Mathieu @ 1.4 (-4)
WON Jurgen MELZER v Wayne ODESNIK Melzer 3-0 @ 2.3 (+13)
WON Kevin KIM v David FERRER Ferrer WIN @ 1.14 (+1.4)
WON Lleyton HEWITT v Robby GINEPRI Hewitt WIN @ 1.16 (+1.6)
WON Andy RODDICK v Jeremy CHARDY Roddick WIN @ 1.13 (+1.3)
WON Bobby REYNOLDS v Gilles SIMON Simon WIN @ 1.2 (+2)
WON Christophe ROCHUS v Pablo CUEVAS Lay Rochus @ 1.83 (+10)
WON Jesse LEVINE v Marat SAFIN Lay Safin @ 1.36 (+10)
WON Stanislas WAWRINKA v Eduardo SCHWANK Wawrinka WIN @ 1.06 (+0.6)
WON Taylor DENT v Daniel GIMENO-TRAVER Lay Dent @ 1.17 (+10)
LOST Thiago ALVES v Andrei PAVEL Lay Alves @ 1.83 (-8.3)
LOST Andy MURRAY v Robert KENDRICK Murray 3-0 @ 1.24 (-10)
WON Juan Carlos FERRERO v Mikhail YOUZHNY Lay Youzhny @ 1.83 (+10)

Total profit on £10 stake on each bet = 45.70

Wimbledon First Round, Tuesday

2009-06-23T09:19:00.004+01:00

Fernando GONZALEZ v Teimuraz GABASHVILI Gonzalez WIN @ 1.1
Nicolas DEVILDER v Nicolas LAPENTTI Lapentti WIN @ 1.5
Nikolay DAVYDENKO v Daniel EVANS Davydenko WIN @ 1.11
Oscar HERNANDEZ v Leonardo MAYER Lay Mayer @ 1.33
Victor CRIVOI v Bjorn PHAU Lay Phau @ 1.4
Alex BOGDANOVIC v Tomas BERDYCH Lay Berdych @ 1.17
Benjamin BECKER v Roko KARANUSIC Lay Becker @ 1.4
Fabio FOGNINI v Denis ISTOMIN Lay Istomin @ 1.36
Frederico GIL v Paul-Henri MATHIEU Lay Mathieu @ 1.4
Jurgen MELZER v Wayne ODESNIK Melzer 3-0 @ 2.3
Kevin KIM v David FERRER Ferrer WIN @ 1.14
Lleyton HEWITT v Robby GINEPRI Hewitt WIN @ 1.16
Andy RODDICK v Jeremy CHARDY Roddick WIN @ 1.13
Bobby REYNOLDS v Gilles SIMON Simon WIN @ 1.2
Christophe ROCHUS v Pablo CUEVAS Lay Rochus @ 1.83
Jesse LEVINE v Marat SAFIN Lay Safin @ 1.36
Stanislas WAWRINKA v Eduardo SC'NK Wawrinka WIN @ 1.06
Taylor DENT v Daniel GIMENO-TRAVER Lay Dent @ 1.17
Thiago ALVES v Andrei PAVEL Lay Alves @ 1.83
Andy MURRAY v Robert KENDRICK Murray 3-0 @ 1.24
Juan Carlos FERRERO v Mikhail YOUZHNY Lay Youzhny @ 1.83

Wimbledon First Round results, Monday

2009-06-23T09:04:00.002+01:00

LOST James BLAKE v Andreas SEPPI Blake 3-0 @ 2.3 (-10)
LOST Guillermo GARCIA-L v Agustin CALLERI Lay Garcia-L @ 1.19 (-1.9)
WON Karol BECK v Feliciano LOPEZ Lay Lopez @ 1.36 (+10)
LOST Philipp KOHLS'BER v Florent SERRA Lay Kohlschreiber @ 1.27 (-2.7)
WON Adrian MANNARINO v Marc GICQUEL Gicquel WIN @ 1.45 (+4.5)
LOST Ivo MINAR v Maximo GONZALEZ Lay Minar @ 1.45 (-4.5)
WON Yen-Hsun LU v Roger FEDERER Federer WIN @ 1.01 (+0.1)
WON Mardy FISH v Sergio ROITMAN Fish WIN @ 1.05 (+0.5)
WON Andrey GOLUBEV v Jo-Wilfried TSONGA Tsonga WIN @ 1.06 (+0.6)
WON Marcel GRANOLLERS v Andreas BECK Lay Beck @ 1.20 (+10)
WON Jan HERNYCH v Janko TIPSAREVIC Tipsarevic 3-0 @ 2.3 (+13)
LOST Xavier MALISSE v Rainer SCHUETTLER Lay Schuettler @ 1.9 (-9)
WON Evgeny KOROLEV v Igor ANDREEV Andreev WIN @ 1.5 (+5)
WON Nicolas MAHUT v Kristof VLIEGEN Lay Mahut @ 1.36 (+10)
WON Tommy ROBREDO v Luka GREGORC Robredo WIN @ 1.16 (+1.6)
LOST Julien BENNETEAU v Novak DJOKOVIC Djokovic 3-0 @ 1.62 (-10)
WON Fernando VERDASCO v James WARD Verdasco WIN @ 1.05 (+0.5)
WON Tommy HAAS v Alexander PEYA Haas WIN @ 1.05 (unfinished)
LOST Diego JUNQUEIRA v Guillermo CANAS Lay Canas @ 1.36 (-3.6)
LOST Michael LLODRA v Joshua GOODALL Lay Llodra @ 1.17 (unfinished)
WON Alberto MARTIN v Marin CILIC Cilic WIN @ 1.04 (+0.4)

Total profit on £10 stake on each bet = 13.30

Wimbledon winner?

2009-06-22T12:03:00.003+01:00

Surely it must be a player with grass court ability. So, here are the players in the tournament who have a winning (i.e. 50+%) record on grass courts since 2005.

Player / Won / Lost / % / Odds

Federer / 42 / 1 / 97.67 / 1.9
Roddick / 32 / 7 / 82.05 / 32.0
Hewitt / 27 / 8 / 77.14 / 160
Djokovic / 21 / 7 / 75.00 / 17.0
Murray / 24 / 9 / 72.73 / 4.0
Berdych / 23 / 9 / 71.88 / 340
Karlovic / 24 / 10 / 70.59 / 200
Ferrer / 27 / 12 / 69.23 / 870
Ferrero / 18 / 8 / 69.23 / 1000
Safin / 17 / 8 / 68.00 / 260
Tursunov / 27 / 13 / 67.50 / 700
Tsonga / 6 / 3 / 66.67 / 50
Dent / 8 / 4 / 66.67 / 1000
Blake / 19 /10 / 65.52 / 280
F Gonzalez / 15 / 8 / 65.22 / 200
Mahut / 19 / 11 / 63.33 / 1000
Verdasco / 17 / 10 / 62.96 / 120
Youzhny / 17 / 10 / 62.96 / 1000
Santoro / 22 / 13 / 62.86 / 1000
Haas / 20 / 12 / 62.50 / 75
Ljubicic / 16 / 10 / 61.54 / 1000
Del Potro / 8 / 5 / 61.54 / 30
Istomin / 3 / 2 / 60.00 / 3000
Lopez / 15 / 10 / 60.00 / 1000
Cilic / 10 / 7 / 58.82 / 180
Tipsarevic / 18 / 13 / 58.06 / 800
Llodra / 11 / 8 / 57.89 / 1000
Stepanek / 12 / 9 / 57.14 / 750
Kohlschreiber / 17 / 13 / 56.67 / 790
Becker / 13 / 10 / 56.52 / 810
Clement / 16 / 13 / 55.17 / 3000
Soderling / 12 / 10 / 54.55 / 120
Schuettler / 12 / 10 / 54.55 / 1500
Dancevic / 13 / 11 / 54.17 / 1000
Melzer / 13 / 11 / 54.17 / 1000
Kiefer / 9 / 8 / 52.94 / 1000
Gicquel / 9 / 8 / 52.94 / 1500
Seppi / 13 / 12 / 52.00 / 2000

Wimbledon sets

2009-06-22T10:00:00.001+01:00

Here are some set betting stats for Wimbledon since 2005.

First Set Score / Won match / Lost Match

6-0 / 6 / 1
6-1 / 27 / 4
6-2 / 40 / 6
6-3 / 108 / 29
6-4 / 95 / 28
7-5 / 23 / 14
7-6 / 82 / 28

Wimbledon 1st Round matches, Monday

2009-06-22T03:33:00.004+01:00

To begin my Wimbledon predictions, here are Monday's matches and how I think they will result. I use statistics from the previous four years of this tournament, and I take an average of odds from five different bookmakers. I apply these odds and the results of the matches to this year's tournament. I additionally compare previous encounters between the players, their grass court form from the past 5 years, their form at Wimbledon and their matches this year.

I have not suggested a stake on these matches but for the purpose of calculating a profit for this blog I use a £10 back stake and a max. deficit of the same amount on lay bets.

Any matches not included are no bets.

James BLAKE v Andreas SEPPI Blake 3-0 @ 2.3
Guillermo GARCIA-L v Agustin CALLERI Lay Garcia-L @ 1.19
Karol BECK v Feliciano LOPEZ Lay Lopez @ 1.36
Philipp KOHLS'BER v Florent SERRA Lay Kohlschreiber @ 1.27
Adrian MANNARINO v Marc GICQUEL Gicquel WIN @ 1.45
Ivo MINAR v Maximo GONZALEZ Lay Minar @ 1.45
Yen-Hsun LU v Roger FEDERER Federer WIN @ 1.01
Mardy FISH v Sergio ROITMAN Fish WIN @ 1.05
Andrey GOLUBEV v Jo-Wilfried TSONGA Tsonga WIN @ 1.06
Marcel GRANOLLERS v Andreas BECK Lay Beck @ 1.20
Jan HERNYCH v Janko TIPSAREVIC Tipsarevic 3-0 @ 2.3
Xavier MALISSE v Rainer SCHUETTLER Lay Schuettler @ 1.9
Evgeny KOROLEV v Igor ANDREEV Andreev WIN @ 1.5
Nicolas MAHUT v Kristof VLIEGEN Lay Mahut @ 1.36
Tommy ROBREDO v Luka GREGORC Robredo WIN @ 1.16
Julien BENNETEAU v Novak DJOKOVIC Djokovic 3-0 @ 1.62
Fernando VERDASCO v James WARD Verdasco WIN @ 1.05
Tommy HAAS v Alexander PEYA Haas WIN @ 1.05
Diego JUNQUEIRA v Guillermo CANAS Lay Canas @ 1.36
Michael LLODRA v Joshua GOODALL Lay Llodra @ 1.17
Alberto MARTIN v Marin CILIC Cilic WIN @ 1.04

Wimbledon ahead

2009-06-17T17:21:00.002+01:00

I usually prefer not to bet on the pre-Grand Slam week of tennis, which is why I have not put any predictions on here for this week. There are also no stats for previous tournaments at one of the pre-Wimbledon tournaments.

However, Wimbledon starts next week and there will be many predictions on this blog for that.

Queens Club tennis results, Saturday

2009-06-17T17:18:00.001+01:00

VOID James BLAKE v Andy RODDICK Roddick to win @ 1.33

Queens Club tennis, Saturday

2009-06-13T12:05:00.002+01:00

One prediction today.

James BLAKE v Andy RODDICK Roddick to win @ 1.33

Queens Club results, Thursday

2009-06-12T07:53:00.000+01:00

LOST Lleyton HEWITT v Andy RODDICK Lay Roddick 2-0 @ 1.87 (-8.7)
LOST Mikhail YOUZHNY v Gilles SIMON Lay Youzhny @ 1.62 (-6.2)

Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = -14.9

Queens Club tennis, Thursday

2009-06-11T07:34:00.002+01:00

Lleyton HEWITT v Andy RODDICK Lay Roddick 2-0 @ 1.87
Mikhail YOUZHNY v Gilles SIMON Lay Youzhny @ 1.62

Results, Wednesday

2009-06-11T07:20:00.002+01:00

WCQ football

WON Sweden v Malta 2+ goals @ 1.09 (+0.9)
WON England v Andorra England WIN @ 1.01 (+0.1)

Total profit on stake of £10 each bet = 1.00

Queen's Club tennis

WON Andy MURRAY v Andreas SEPPI Murray WIN @ 1.07 (+0.7)
WON Lleyton HEWITT v Federico GIL Hewitt WIN @ 1.10 (+1)
WON Ivo KARLOVIC v Julien BENNETEAU Karlovic WIN @ 1.4 (+4)

Total profit on stake of £10 each bet = 5.70

WCQ football matches, Wednesday

2009-06-10T08:41:00.002+01:00

Sweden v Malta 2+ goals @ 1.09
England v Andorra England WIN @ 1.01

Queens Club 2nd Round, Wednesday

2009-06-10T08:36:00.003+01:00

Andy MURRAY v Andreas SEPPI Murray WIN @ 1.07
Lleyton HEWITT v Federico GIL Hewitt WIN @ 1.10
Ivo KARLOVIC v Julien BENNETEAU Karlovic WIN @ 1.4

Queens Club results, Tuesday

2009-06-10T08:23:00.002+01:00

LOST Steve DARCIS v Paul CAPDEVILLE Lay Darcis @ 1.57 (-5.7)
LOST Sebastien GROSJEAN v Juan Carlos FERRERO Lay Ferrero @ 1.5 (-5)
LOST Alberto MARTIN v Ernests GULBIS Gulbis WIN @ 1.14 (-10)
LOST Julien BENNETEAU v Daniel KOELLERER Lay Benneteau @ 1.28 (-2.8)
WON Teimuraz GABASHVILI v Ivo KARLOVIC Karlovic WIN @ 1.18 (+1.8)

WON Kristof VLIEGEN v Andy RODDICK Roddick WIN @ 1.04 (+0.4)
WON Gael MONFILS v Andrey GOLUBEV Monfils WIN @ 1.17 (+1.7)

Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = -19.6

Queens Club, Tuesday

2009-06-09T07:37:00.004+01:00

Steve DARCIS v Paul CAPDEVILLE Lay Darcis @ 1.57
Sebastien GROSJEAN v Juan Carlos FERRERO Lay Ferrero @ 1.5
Alberto MARTIN v Ernests GULBIS Gulbis WIN @ 1.14
Julien BENNETEAU v Daniel KOELLERER Lay Benneteau @ 1.28
Teimuraz GABASHVILI v Ivo KARLOVIC Karlovic WIN @ 1.18

Kristof VLIEGEN v Andy RODDICK Roddick WIN @ 1.04
Gael MONFILS v Andrey GOLUBEV Monfils WIN @ 1.17

Queens Club First Round results, Monday

2009-06-09T07:35:00.000+01:00

WON Mikhail YOUZHNY v Oscar HERNANDEZ Youzhny WIN @1.13 (+1.3)
WON Paul-Henri MATHIEU v Andrei PAVEL Mathieu WIN 2-0 @ 1.36 (+3.6)
LOST Leonardo MAYER v Kristof VLIEGEN Lay Vliegen @ 1.62 (-6.2)
LOST Andreas SEPPI v Robby GINEPRI Lay Seppi @ 1.67 (-6.7)
WON Lleyton HEWITT v Eduardo SCHWANK Hewitt WIN 2-0 @ 1.3 (+3)
LOST Ivan LJUBICIC v Sergiy STAKHOVSKY Lay Ljubicic @ 1.64 (-6.4)
LOST Michael LLODRA v Evgeny KOROLEV Lay Llodra @ 1.52 (-5.2)
LOST Kevin ANDERSON v Fabio FOGNINI Lay Anderson @ 1.45 (-4.5)
LOST Igor DIMITROV v Ivan NAVARRO Lay Dimitrov @ 1.63 (-6.3)
LOST Federico GIL v Daniel GIMENO TRAVER Lay Gil @ 1.57 (-5.7)

Total profit on stake of £10 on each bet = -33.10

Queens Club First Round, Monday

2009-06-08T07:20:00.001+01:00

Here are my predictions, based on stats, for the Queens Club tennis first round matches.

Mikhail YOUZHNY v Oscar HERNANDEZ Youzhny WIN @1.13
Paul-Henri MATHIEU v Andrei PAVEL Mathieu WIN 2-0 @ 1.36
Leonardo MAYER v Kristof VLIEGEN Lay Vliegen @ 1.62
Andreas SEPPI v Robby GINEPRI Lay Seppi @ 1.67
Lleyton HEWITT v Eduardo SCHWANK Hewitt WIN 2-0 @ 1.3
Ivan LJUBICIC v Sergiy STAKHOVSKY Lay Ljubicic @ 1.64
Michael LLODRA v Evgeny KOROLEV Lay Llodra @ 1.52
Kevin ANDERSON v Fabio FOGNINI Lay Anderson @ 1.45
Igor DIMITROV v Ivan NAVARRO Lay Dimitrov @ 1.63
Federico GIL v Daniel GIMENO TRAVER Lay Gil @ 1.57

All other matches are no bets.

French Open Final result, Sunday

2009-06-08T06:39:00.001+01:00

WON Robin SODERLING v Roger FEDERER Federer WIN @ 1.27 (+2.7)

Total profit on stake of £10 = 2.70

Twenty20 cricket result, Sunday

2009-06-08T06:31:00.002+01:00

WON South Africa v Scotland South Africa WIN @ 1.07 (+0.7)

Total profit on stake of £10 = 0.70

French Open Final, Sunday

2009-06-07T12:52:00.001+01:00

Robin SODERLING v Roger FEDERER Federer WIN @ 1.27
Federer's record against Robin Soderling is excellent, and while he may not have had the easiest matches on route to the final, Federer should win his first French Open today. Soderling's mental ability was wobbly against Gonzalez and Federer has more to his game to outthink the Swede.

Twenty20 cricket, Sunday

2009-06-07T12:49:00.000+01:00

This has to be a bet, whatever the the odds. South Africa should eliminate Scotland from the tournament with ease.

South Africa v Scotland South Africa WIN @ 1.07

Saturday's World Cup qualification football matches, results

2009-06-07T08:15:00.000+01:00

WON Kazakhstan v England England WIN @ 1.15 (+1.5)
WON Slovakia v San Marino 3 goals+ @ 1.16 (+1.6)
WON Tunisia v Mozambique Tunisia WIN @ 1.32 (+3.2)

Total profit on £10 stake on each bet = 6.30

Saturday's World Cup football qualification matches

2009-06-06T11:40:00.001+01:00

Here are my predictions for Saturday's World Cup qualification football matches.

Kazakhstan v England England WIN @ 1.15
Slovakia v San Marino 3 goals+ @ 1.16
Tunisia v Mozambique Tunisia WIN @ 1.32

French Open Semi-Final results, Friday

2009-06-06T11:00:00.002+01:00

WON Juan Martin DEL POTRO v Roger FEDERER Federer WIN @ 1.3 (+3)

Total profit on £10 stake = 3.00

French Open Semi-Finals, Friday

2009-06-05T07:18:00.002+01:00

Juan Martin DEL POTRO v Roger FEDERER Federer WIN @ 1.3

Robin SODERLING v Fernando GONZALEZ No bet

French Open Quarter-Finals, Wednesday results

2009-06-05T07:15:00.001+01:00

WON Roger FEDERER v Gael MONFILS Federer to win @ 1.33 (+3.3)

Total profit on stake od £10 = 3.30

French Open Quarter-Finals, Wednesday

2009-06-03T07:20:00.002+01:00

Roger FEDERER v Gael MONFILS Federer to win @ 1.33

Juan Martin DEL POTRO v Tommy ROBREDO No bet

French Open Quarter-Finals results, Tuesday

2009-06-03T07:16:00.003+01:00

WON Andy MURRAY v Fernando GONZALEZ Lay Gonzalez 3-0 @ 8.4 (+1.35)

Total profit on a stake of £10 = 1.35

French Open Quarter-Finals, Tuesday

2009-06-02T06:02:00.005+01:00

This is not an easy round to predict. There are a number of reasons for this. The lack of clear favourites in this round is unusual. These are the odds of the winners in this round over a period of four years.

1.03
1.04
1.04
1.04
1.05
1.05
1.10
1.10
1.11
1.30
1.56
1.60
1.64
2.16
2.28
4.18

As you can see, there are very few non-favourites winning their matches, but there are many at less than 1.1.

So for this round, an analysis of the player statistics becomes more important. Additionally, set betting seems the ideal choice.

Robin SODERLING v Nikolay DAVYDENKO No bet
Soderling and Davydenko is a very tough match to bet on. Considering that Davydenko is a 1.5s favourite and the player who is a real danger in this tournament I would think he should win this match. His return of serve should be an important factor in obliterating Soderling's power hitting. But there is a strong previous encounter favouritism for Soderling, who has beaten Davydenko convincingly on previous occasions. Davydenko has, however, a far better clay court record - and an impressive French Open record. He has been knocked out of the French Open by Federer, Nalbandian, Ljubicic and Puerta in four years. He has got to the semi-finals twice in that period. Soderling has been knocked out by Lee, Montanes, Nadal and Benneteau. He has never exceeded the third round. This is a toss of a coin. No bet.

Andy MURRAY v Fernando GONZALEZ Lay Gonzalez 3-0 @ 8.4
This is another close match which isn't easy to select a winner from. Gonzalez' form on these courts is good, but overrated. Murray's is improving but not convincing. Gonzalez will have to play a great game today to beat Murray and considering the way he has played in the tournament against lesser opponents, he should have the energy and ability to do that. I can't, however, see him winning it 3-0.

French Open 4th Round results, Monday

2009-06-01T22:24:00.002+01:00

Three defeats and and one win, and a profit.

WON Andy RODDICK v Gael MONFILS Monfils to win 3-0 @ 5.0 (+40)
LOST Roger FEDERER v Tommy HAAS Federer to win 3-0 @ 1.59 (-10)
LOST Juan Martin DEL POTRO v Jo-Wilfried TSONGA Del Potro to win 3-0 @ 3.75 (-10)
LOST Tommy ROBREDO v Philipp KOHLSCHREIBER Robredo to win 3-0 @ 5.7 (-10)

Total profit on £10 stake on each bet = 10.00

French Open 4th Round, Monday

2009-06-01T09:13:00.003+01:00

Here are my predictions for Monday's matches.

Roger FEDERER v Tommy HAAS Federer to win 3-0 @ 1.59
Federer has the ability to beat Haas, who may have previously caused him problems but is unlikely to today.
Juan Martin DEL POTRO v Jo-Wilfried TSONGA Del Potro to win 3-0 @ 3.75
Del Potro should knock Tsonga out this competition, the Frenchman doesn't have the experience on these courts to beat Del Potro.
Tommy ROBREDO v Philipp KOHLSCHREIBER Robredo to win 3-0 @ 5.7
Robredo is underestimated here and could be in for a big tournament. Too much emphasis on Kohlschreiber's elimination of Djokovic and not enough on the matches of Robredo in these odds.
Andy RODDICK v Gael MONFILS Monfils to win 3-0 @ 5.0
Roddick is dangerous but I suspect that Monfils will knock him around the court far too much for him to win this.

French Open 4th Round results, Sunday

2009-06-01T09:08:00.002+01:00

WON Fernando GONZALEZ v Victor HANESCU G'lez to win 3-0 @ 2.10 (+11)
LOST Rafael Nadal v Robin SODERLING Nadal to win 3-0 @ 1.31 (-10)
WON Andy Murray v Marin CILIC Murray to win 3-0 @ 3.10 (+21)
LOST Nicolay DAVYDENKO v Fernando VERDASCO Verd'co to win 3-0 @ 4.0 (-10)

Total profit on £10 stake on each bet = 12.00

French Open 4th Round, Sunday

2009-05-31T09:20:00.002+01:00

The French Open 4th round is an easy round to bet on. There are very few victories for the non-favourites (1 in every 4.5 matches) and when they do win it isn't usually easy. In fact, in four years, no non-favourites have won 3-0.

I generally use odds from 5 different bookmakers - and have done since the 3rd round of the tournament this year. I take the odds from those, divide by 5 and give accurate odds. Using betting exchanges you would expect those odds to increase a little, less so for the strong favourites.

Here are my bets for the 4th round.

Rafael NADAL v Robin SODERLING Nadal to win 3-0 @ 1.31
I can see potential in Soderling's game to beat most players, but not Rafael Nadal on clay. There is one winner here and it will be an easy win for the Spaniard.

Fernando GONZALEZ v Victor HANESCU Gonzalez to win 3-0 @ 2.10
Gonzalez has more than enough energy and skill to defeat Hanescu easily. I think Hanescu has some form going into this, but it won't be nearly enough to prevent an easy win for Gonzalez.

Andy MURRAY v Marin CILIC Murray to win 3-0 @ 3.10
Murray has the game to defeat Cilic easily, and while I may have decided he won't win 3-0 in previous matches this is probably going to be one of those.

Nikolay DAVYDENKO v Fernando VERDASCO Verdasco to win 3-0 @ 4.0
Very good odds on the easy win for Verdasco and his form is improving throughout the tournament. Davydenko has a chance here, but I think that at this price the 3-0 to Verdasco is not worth avoiding.

There is another plan available for all of these matches and it is this -

Back all non-favourites at match odds of 1.11+ to win 3-2. This would be an ideal counterbet for the 3-0 predictions above. You'll get some great odds e.g. Hanescu @ 19.5. And this is why - of the non-favourites that have won in this round in four years (and there have been just 6 of them in completed matches) four of them have won 3-2.

Saturday bet results

2009-05-31T09:17:00.001+01:00

Cricket was an easy bet yesterday.

WON Glamorgan v Warwickshire Warwickshire WIN in-play @ 1.26 (+2.6)

Total profit on a stake of £10 on each bet = +2.6

No profit for the tennis on Saturday, but continuing in profit for the tournament.

WON Tommy HAAS v Jeremy CHARDY Lay Chardy 3-0 @ 3.6 (+3.85)
LOST Andy RODDICK v Marc GICQUEL Gicquel WIN @ 5.0 (-10)
LOST Tommy ROBREDO v Maximo GONZALEZ Gonzalez WIN @ 4.7 (-10)
LOST Christophe ROCHUS v Jo-Wilfried TSONGA Rochus WIN @ 8.6 (-10)
WON Juan Martin DEL POTRO v Igor ANDREEV Del Potro WIN @ 1.1 (+1)
LOST Novak DJOKOVIC v Philipp KOHLSCHREIBER Djokovic WIN @ 1.06 (-10)
WON Jurgen MELZER v Gael MONFILS Lay Monfils 3-0 @ 2.92 (+5.21)
WON MATHIEU v Roger FEDERER Federer WIN @ 1.08 (+0.8)

Total profit on a stake of £10 on each bet = -29.14

T20 Cricket, Saturday

2009-05-30T18:45:00.006+01:00

The stats show an effective bet on the cricket this evening.

Glamorgan v Warwickshire Warwickshire WIN @ 1.26 in-play
Glamorgan 129/8 off 20 overs.
At these odds, considering the stats show that in English T20 cricket, there is a 1 in 12 chance of a score of 129 being beaten, Warwickshire to win is a superb bet.

French Open 3rd Round matches, Saturday

2009-05-30T08:54:00.004+01:00

Can I make a profit on Saturday?

Tommy HAAS v Jeremy CHARDY Lay Chardy 3-0 @ 3.6
Chardy is at odds which would suggest he has a good chance of winning this, particularly when supported by the stats, but Haas has the experience and I can't see quarter-finals full of Frenchmen either. Chardy has his toughest match yet and I suspect if he does win it won't be easy.

Andy RODDICK v Marc GICQUEL Gicquel WIN @ 5.0
Roddick's poor record at Roland Garros is likely to return to hit him today. He's had reasonably easy wins so far against limited opponents. Gicquel is far from that, and is a superb price to defeat Roddick. This price cannot be bet against. Gicquel to win @ 5.0.

Tommy ROBREDO v Maximo GONZALEZ Gonzalez WIN @ 4.7
Maximo Gonzalez is definitely becoming a dark horse in this tournament, and indeed it is a tournament in which unheralded South American players have made the big time. Yet he is against Robredo who has won his matches easily so far, and hence this bet should be decided on with some caution. The stats suggest one or two favourites between 1.11 and 1.29 should lose in this round and none have yet. Gonzalez to win @ 4.7.

Christophe ROCHUS v Jo-Wilfried TSONGA Rochus WIN @ 8.6
Another player whose odds are wrongly priced is Tsonga. Look at his clay court form against that of Rochus and you'll see they are almost equally matched. Rochus has beaten some great players this week and Tsonga has just edged his way through to this stage. Rochus to win.

Juan Martin DEL POTRO v Igor ANDREEV Del Potro WIN @ 1.1
Del Potro is the riskiest favourite of the day, but I shall back him to win this. He has a winning record against Andreev and is in such form that a stuttering Andreev won't have many chances against him. It may even be 3-0, but a Del Potro win is on the cards.

Novak DJOKOVIC v Philipp KOHLSCHREIBER Djokovic WIN @ 1.06
Djokovic is in the safe zone and Kohlschreiber will not have any chance to win this. Added to the fact that his serve is simply not good enough against a player like Djokovic, he is likely to be outrallied too. However, the warm conditions will not favour Djokovic and he may need to win quickly.

Jurgen MELZER v Gael MONFILS Lay Monfils 3-0 @ 2.92
Melzer would be a potential winner of this if it wasn't for Monfil's form which going into this match has been excellent. He seems to take to this tournament reasonably easily and has done so again this year. Melzer too has played great tennis to get to this stage and I am sure he will win at least a set in this match.

Paul-Henri MATHIEU v Roger FEDERER Federer WIN @ 1.08
Roger Federer shouldn't have much trouble against Mathieu here. The French player has been unconvincing in his previous matches, and Federer wasn't at his best previously either. But Federer plays himself into tournaments, and Mathieu plays himself out of them. Federer to win this easily.

French Open 3rd Round results, Friday

2009-05-29T22:23:00.001+01:00

Today's match results

WON Rafael NADAL v Lleyton HEWITT Nadal win @ 1.02 WON (+0.2)
WON Fernando GONZALEZ v Josselin OUANNA Gonzalez to win @ 1.08 (+0.8)
WON Gilles SIMON v Victor HANESCU Hanescu to win @ 3.0 (+20)
LOST Andy MURRAY v Janko TIPSAREVIC Tipsarevic to win @ 7.0 (-10)
LOST Fernando VERDASCO v Nicolas ALMAGRO Almagro to win @ 7.8 (-10)
LOST Radek STEPANEK v Marin CILIC Stepanek to win @ 2.26 (-10)
WON Robin SODERLING v David FERRER Soderling to win @ 2.94 (+19.4)
LOST Nicolay DAVYDENKO v Stanislas WAWRINKA Davydenko 3-0 @ 5.2 (-10)

Total profit on £10 stake on each bet = 0.40

French Open 3rd Round matches, Friday

2009-05-29T09:21:00.005+01:00

These are the predictions for Friday's 3rd round matches. I have put a lot of detail into the analysis for this round as it is the round that I was most successful with last year. Note with any analysis of player stats mentioned in this blog it refers to a period from now back to 2005.

Rafael NADAL v Lleyton HEWITT Nadal win @ 1.02
At first glance Hewitt could seem like a player who is not a natural on clay courts, but his record is actually quite good. Additionally, he would seem to have a good record against Nadal. In fact, he does, but when you look in more detail at that record it doesn't bode well for Hewitt. His only earned victory in four years was back in 2005 in the Australian Open and even that was a gruelling 3-2. In that match Hewitt was ranked 3rd in the ATP rankings and Nadal 56th. All of their other matches since then have been with Nadal ranked 2nd, and with the exception of a Nadal retirement in a match at Queens in which Nadal was beginning to dominate, the Spaniard has a good record against Hewitt - and an unbeaten record on clay. Nadal's clay court record against Hewitt is 3-0, and although Hewitt gave Nadal a tough match last year and won a set against him in the French Open in 2006, this is not the Hewitt of those matches and it is obvious why Nadal is such a short price. He will win, and it may be in straight sets. 1.3 is a good price for the straight sets. In four years, there have been four players starting a third round match at Roland Garros at 1.02 or less. Every one of those players won 3-0. Not convincing enough though, when you consider that 2 players at 1.03 did not win by that score. This has to be a bet on the Nadal match win.

Fernando GONZALEZ v Josselin OUANNA Gonzalez to win @ 1.08
Gonzalez is not an excellent clay court player, but he does win nearly three times the number of matches he loses, and Ouanna, despite his previous exploits at this year's tournament, has met his match here. Gonzalez has the perfect game to beat Ouanna. The straight sets win is at 1.6s, a little risky with a Frenchman involved and not supported by the stats, so the match bet for Gonzalez is the choice.

Andy MURRAY v Janko TIPSAREVIC Tipsarevic to win @ 7.0
These players share their previous matches with two victories each. None of those were on clay, however, Tipsarevic has form coming into this tournament, he has more French Open attempts under his belt and the odds on him in this match, considering that, are quite attractive. Favourites between 1.1 and 1.19 in this round have a 7-3 record and I wouldn't be surprised if Tipsarevic pulls off the win here. I am opting for the win.

Fernando VERDASCO v Nicolas ALMAGRO Almagro to win @ 7.8
The odds are way too risky on Verdasco here. Yes, he's got the form but Almagro can destroy opponents on clay when he has his game going. Almagro was a quarter-finalist here last year and should not be underestimated. On Verdasco's side are the previous matches, he leads 2-0, both on clay, both straight sets wins. My theory is that if Verdasco doesn't win this in three sets, Almagro could knock him out of this tournament. The stats suggest that a good choice here would be a lay of Verdasco 3-2. But I'm on the win for the underdog.

Radek STEPANEK v Marin CILIC Stepanek to win @ 2.26
Cilic is the favourite here, but the odds should be approached with some caution. Stepanek has a previous win against Cilic on clay, in straight sets. He has a superior clay court record. And he has a reasonably good French Open record. Stepanek to win.

Gilles SIMON v Victor HANESCU Hanescu to win @ 3.0
Hanescu is another former quarter-finalist who is possibly underestimated in this match. This is either a lay of Simon 3-0 or a straight bet on Hanescu. This has the signs of a 5 set match.

Robin SODERLING v David FERRER Soderling to win @ 2.94
Soderling has the potential to beat any player, but his temperament often lets him down. It could easily do against the frustrating return of serve of David Ferrer, but the conditions today and the stats suggest Soderling has an excellent chance of a win here.

Nicolay DAVYDENKO v Stanislas WAWRINKA Davydenko 3-0 @ 5.2
Wawrinka is capable of causing the Russian problems here, but whether he will play to his strengths is another matter.

Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer

Will they play again in the final, or will one of the seven French players get through to challenge them?

French Open 2nd Round, Thursday results

2009-05-28T23:42:00.005+01:00

No profit today, unfortunately, but some nice bets coming up for the 3rd Round, which was my most successful round last year.

Here are the results of the Thursday predictions.

WON Jose ACASUSO v Roger FEDERER Federer WIN @ 1.02 (+0.2)
LOST Tommy ROBREDO v Daniel GIMENO-TRAVER Lay Robredo 3-0 @ 1.7 (-7)
WON Andreas BECK v Marc GICQUEL Lay Beck 3-0 @ 6.9 (+1.69)
LOST Andreas SEPPI v Maximo GONZALEZ Lay Gonzalez 3-0 @ 11.0 (-10)
LOST Martin V-ARGUELLO v Igor ANDREEV Lay Andreev 3-2 @ 6.7 (-10)
LOST Martin DEL POTRO v Viktor TROICKI Lay Del Potro 3-0 @ 1.67 (-6.7)
WON Juan MONACO v Jo-Wilfried TSONGA Lay Monaco 3-0 @ 5.4 (+2.27)
WON Jurgen MELZER v Guillarme RUFIN Lay Rufin 3-0 @ 22.0 (+0.48)
Philipp KOHLSCHREIBER v Juan Carlos FERRERO Lay Kohlschreiber 3-0 @ 5.2 (+2.38)
WON Andy RODDICK v Ivo MINAR Lay Minar 3-0 @ 23.0 (+0.45)

Total profit on a stake of £10 on each bet = -£26.23

French Open 2nd Round, Thursday

2009-05-28T07:02:00.003+01:00

Thursday's French Open predictions, using similar methods to that of the previous 2nd Round matches.

Jeremy CHARDY v Simone BOLELLI No bet
I can't suggest any bet on this as it involves a French player at odds which don't give any obvious bets away. No bet.
Tommy ROBREDO v Daniel GIMENO-TRAVER Lay Robredo 3-0 @ 1.7
Robredo should win this, but I am not sure it will be easy. Lay Robredo 3-0.
Andreas SEPPI v Maximo GONZALEZ Lay Gonzalez 3-0 @ 11.0
Andreas Seppi has the potential to have a good tournament here, and I can't see Gonzalez stopping him. However, to be on the safe side, a lay of Gonzalez 3-0 at reasonable odds is worth a shot.
Martin V-ARGUELLO v Igor ANDREEV Lay Andreev 3-2 @ 6.7
It's quite difficult to predict how Vassallo-Arguello will play in a match. Andreev, however, is very predictable, and while he may have inched his way into the second round in a deciding set last time, given the same situation today I am not sure he would manage it. Unlikely to get to that, however and so a lay of Andreev 3-2 is the bet.
Jose ACASUSO v Roger FEDERER Federer WIN @ 1.02
Not much to say about this match. No guarantee of straight sets, and the odds for that are not good enough, but Federer should win.
Arnaud CLEMENT v Christopher ROCHUS Clement No bet
Not a match to bet on, I suspect a win for the French player, but Rochus has a tricky game.
Martin DEL POTRO v Viktor TROICKI Lay Del Potro 3-0 @ 1.67
Del Potro is one of the two favourites I would put at risk of a surprise defeat today but a safer bet could be a lay of 3-0 to him.
Leonardo MAYER v Tommy HAAS No bet
Leonardo Mayer is a quality clay courter but against Haas he may come unstuck. The odds on Haas are probably correct, but the stats don't show any bet is a good bet and so nothing available.
Juan MONACO v Jo-Wilfried TSONGA Lay Monaco 3-0 @ 5.4
Monaco seems to be overrated in every match he plays, but while he continues to win that can't be criticised. Tsonga however, should put up enough of a challenge to prevent the 3-0 and the price is good.
Andreas BECK v Marc GICQUEL Lay Beck 3-0 @ 6.9
Beck may be determined, but against probably the most impressive French player in the tournament's first round, I can't see an easy win. Lay of 3-0.
Paul-Henri MATHIEU v Pablo ANDUJAR No bet
I'm not sure about this match, Andujar doesn't strike me as having the calibre to win this, but Mathieu is more than capable of losing it. No bet.
Jurgen MELZER v Guillarme RUFIN Lay Rufin 3-0 @ 22.0
Rufin had a good first round victory but that could be where his French Open finishes. Melzer will be up for this. Lay Rufin 3-0.
Philipp KOHLSCHREIBER v Juan Carlos FERRERO Lay Kohlschreiber 3-0 @ 5.2
Kohlschreiber isn't a player to guarantee you an easy win, and Ferrero will be improving with every match on these courts.
Victor CRIVOI v Gael MONFILS No bet
I am suspicious of a Monfils victory here, but the stats don't suggest a bet on the match odds is viable. Can't suggest any bet on this.
Andy RODDICK v Ivo MINAR Lay Minar 3-0 @ 23.0
Ivo Minar is the second opponent Roddick should beat quite easily on clay, but considering Roddick's record and potentially unhelpful conditions, a lay of 3-0 to Minar is the choice.
Sergiy STAKHOVSKY v Novak DJOKOVIC No bet
Here is another match where the favourite could be in trouble. Djokovic has form coming into this match, but he is playing a dangerous opponent who could quite easy cause a surprise. This is a no bet.

French Open 2nd Round results, Wednesday

2009-05-27T20:59:00.007+01:00

Another day of profit, here are the results.

WON Andy MURRAY v Potito STARACE Lay Murray 3-0 @ 1.40 (+10)
WON Fernando GONZALEZ v Rui MACHADO Gonzalez WIN @ 1.03 (+0.3)
WON Victor HANESCU v Mikhail YOUZHNY Lay Youzhny 3-2 @ 7.0 (+1.67)
WON Robert KENDRICK v Gilles SIMON Simon WIN @ 1.13 (+1.3)
LOST Ph'p PETZSCHNER v F'ndo VERDASCO Lay Verdasco 3-0 @ 1.28 (-2.8)
WON Dudi SELA v Marin CILIC Lay Cilic 3-2 @ 14.5 (+0.74)
WON Nicolas KIEFER v David FERRER Lay Ferrer 3-0 @ 1.74 (+10)
WON Radek STEPANEK v Math'u MONTC'RT Lay Monc'rt 3-0 @ 27.0 (+0.38)
LOST N MASSU v Stanislas WAWRINKA Lay Wawrinka 3-0 @ 1.9 (-9)
WON Josselin OUANNA v Marat SAFIN Lay Ouanna 3-0 @ 15.0 (+0.71)
WON Nikolay DAVYDENKO v Diego J'RA Davydenko WIN @ 1.05 (+0.5)
WON Andrey GOLUBEV v Lleyton HEWITT Lay Golubev 3-0 @ 22.0 (+0.48)
WON Rafael NADAL v Teimuraz GABASHVILI Nadal 3-0 @ 1.1 (+1)

Total profit on a £10 stake on each bet = 15.28

French Open 2nd Round, Wednesday

2009-05-27T08:27:00.006+01:00

This round is never the easiest to predict at the French Open. For a start, the 'safe zone', odds at which a player is almost certain to win, is, based on odds, eliminated, or at least reduced significantly. More focused investigation however, reveals that in the last four years, French players have been been the major cause of such an effect. There are no French players against the lower priced favourites in this round and as such this suggests caution. Set betting is the topic of the day, so with my predictions today, there are many set betting options to avoid 'no bets'. Because of the set betting plans I am using, this could be one of those days in which I lose more bets than I win but nevertheless, for the second round overall I make a profit. The good thing about this round is that there is a greater chance of matches being completed. Additionally, lay bets at less than 2.0 are not for an equal stake, they are for an equal profit, although you could obviously use an equal stake if preferred.

Andy MURRAY v Potito STARACE Lay Murray 3-0 @ 1.40
Potito Starace is underrated here, and his clay results are very good. Andy Murray allegedly dislikes early matches. While I can see trouble in this match for Murray, I cannot envisage an easy win for Starace or Murray and a lay of Murray 3-0 seems the choice.

Nicolas ALMAGRO v Ernests GULBIS No bet
Gulbis can be a tough player on clay, as proven by this tournament last year. However, his form is out and Almagro is a consistently good clay court player. I am quite surprised by the high odds on Almagro, but Gulbis is a tough competitor and with these odds, there is no probable result. No bet.

Fernando GONZALEZ v Rui MACHADO Gonzalez WIN @ 1.03
I cannot suggest a Machado win, however impressive his first round may have been. Gonzalez is reasonably good on clay, and his experience should see him win this match easily. Gonzalez to win.

Victor HANESCU v Mikhail YOUZHNY Lay Youzhny 3-2 @ 7.0
Mikhail Youzhny is on the borderline of some odd stats. 1.4s have a poor record at Roland Garros whereas 1.5s have a good record. As such, set betting would seem the option. Here I am opting for a lay of Youzhny 3-2.

Robin SODERLING v Denis ISTOMIN No bet
Soderling's price is too risky for a bet on this, he should win but with his injury problems and Istomin's confidence, this is a no bet.

Janko TIPSAREVIC v Feliciano LOPEZ No bet
Tipsarevic at 1.6 is surely based on form. Lopez can play on clay. He rarely wins easily however, however, and at these prices there are no obvious bets. No bet.

Robert KENDRICK v Gilles SIMON Simon WIN @ 1.13
While Kendrick may have slogged his way through his first match, so did Simon, however, a lot will depend on Kendrick's serve here. I think Simon has enough to his return of serve to damage Kendrick's game and Kendrick is lacking in his return of serve. Gilles Simon will be bolstered by his first round victory and the fact he is playing in France. Simon to win.

Philipp PETZSCHNER v Fernando VERDASCO Lay Verdasco 3-0 @ 1.28
Petzschner is one of those players who could spring a surprise against a lot of players at lower odds, but I can't see that against an in-form Verdasco. Set betting again with a lay of Verdasco 3-0.

Dudi SELA v Marin CILIC Lay Cilic 3-2 @ 14.5
I think Cilic is at risk here, even though his form has been good his year. His odds are too minor to make him an outright win bet and yet a bet on his opponent would seem risky. Lay Cilic 3-2 could be an ideal choice.

Nicolas KIEFER v David FERRER Lay Ferrer 3-0 @ 1.74
Yet another player who potentially faces an embarassing knockout from the competition, Ferrer will have to ensure that Kiefer's game is restricted. I think he can do that easily however. Ferrer's return of serve is top notch and while he may have the odd wobble, considering his previous match, I can't see that today. But because of Kiefer's ability and the stats not providing any other option, this is a lay of Ferrer 3-0.

Radek STEPANEK v Mathieu MONTCOURT Lay Montcourt 3-0 @ 27.0
Here is a match in which I am seriously tempted to back the non-favourite. He is exactly the type of opponent that Stepanek's game could struggle against, added to fact that he is French. But players in the range of 1.15-1.19 have a 12-0 undefeated record in this round of French Open in four years and that has to suggest a Stepanek win. As such, I have to resort to a lay of 3-0 to Montcourt.

Nicolas MASSU v Stanislas WAWRINKA Lay Wawrinka 3-0 @ 1.9
I am not convinced by Wawrinka's game having seen his round match, but Massu doesn't seem to win very easily. Yet the stats suggest that Wawrinka is at risk. Lay Wawrinka 3-0.

Josselin OUANNA v Marat SAFIN Lay Ouanna 3-0 @ 15.0
I am not sure at all about Ouanna's ability to destroy Safin here. Safin was powering through his previous match and seems to be confident of a good tournament. He'll have to avoid one of his tantrums in this encounter however, if he doesn't want to risk the wrath of the French crowd, and Ouanna will be up for this match. I can't see an easy win for Safin and I think Ouanna will not win 3-0. Lay of that score for Ouanna.

Nikolay DAVYDENKO v Diego JUNQUEIRA Davydenko WIN @ 1.05
Junqueira was impressive in his first match but he will surely be up against a tougher opponent in Davydenko today. The Russian has the opportunity of an easy win here, and I think he'll take it.

Andrey GOLUBEV v Lleyton HEWITT Lay Golubev 3-0 @ 22.0
Touted as a potential surprise defeat, I don't really think it would be that much of a surprise if Hewitt was to be knocked out in this match. Beating Karlovic will have given him a boost of confidence and as favourites of odds around 1.2 have a record which suggests a Hewitt win, the match odds seem avoidable. I am laying Golubev 3-0 here.

Rafael NADAL v Teimuraz GABASHVILI Nadal 3-0 @ 1.1
Nadal at is the strongest favourite in this round and as such I can see nothing but another 3-0 win for him. Players at the same odds have a 10-0 record in winning in straight sets and 1.1 for set betting is a reasonably good price.

French Open 1st Round, Tuesday results

2009-05-26T21:16:00.007+01:00

Another day of profit?

WON Ivan NAVARRO v Andreas BECK Lay Navarro 3-1 @ 14.0 (+0.77)
WON Juan Martin Del Potro v Michael LLODRA Del Potro WIN @ 1.06 (+0.6)
WON Bobby REYNOLDS v Gael MONFILS Monfils WIN @ 1.17 (+1.7)
WON Philipp KOHLSCHREIBER v Bernard TOMIC Kohl'ber WIN @ 1.07 (+0.7)
WON Juan Carlos FERRERO v Ivan LJUBICIC Ferrero WIN @ 2.3 (+13)
LOST Marcos BAGHDATIS v Juan MONACO Baghdatis WIN @ 5.1 (-10)
WON Nicolas LAPENTTI v Novak DJOKOVIC Djokovic WIN @ 1.03 (+0.3)
WON Tommy ROBREDO v Adrian MANNARINO Robredo WIN @ 1.06 (+0.6)
WON Guillermo GARCIA-LOPEZ v Andreas SEPPI Seppi WIN @ 1.57 (+5.7)
WON Andrei PAVEL v Tommy HAAS Haas WIN @ 1.08 (+0.8)
LOST Julien BENNETEAU v Jo-Wilfried TSONGA Benneteau WIN @ 3.0 (-10)
WON Fabrice SANTORO v Christophe ROCHUS Rochus WIN @ 2.22 (+12.2)
WON James BLAKE v Leonardo MAYER Mayer WIN @ 4.6 (+36)

Total profit on £10 stake on each bet = £52.37

French Open 1st Round, Tuesday

2009-05-26T09:13:00.003+01:00

Here are my predictions for Tuesday's first round matches, based on statistics.

Victor CRIVOI v Simon GREUL No bet
Neither player strikes me as an excellent clay court player, Crivoi has some form coming into this tournament, but the stats say that with these odds, no bet is the choice.
Ivan NAVARRO v Andreas BECK Lay Navarro 3-1 @ 14.0
Hard to decide between these two, but set betting stats suggest Navarro is unlikely to win 3-1 against Beck, who has seen some form and should provide a good contest.
Juan Martin Del Potro v Michael LLODRA Del Potro WIN @ 1.06
Many are predicting that Llodra, after his sturdy efforts last year, could pull off a surprise result here. I don't think so. Del Potro is in form and is in the safe zone. Injury should be his main concern.
Marc GICQUEL v Rainer SCHUETTLER No bet
Gicquel would be my French pick of the day, but his odds are not supported by the stats. No bet.
Viktor TROICKI v Lukasz KUBOT No bet
Another no bet here, Kubot can pull off surprise results and Troicki isn't the most predictable player.
Marcos BAGHDATIS v Juan MONACO Baghdatis WIN @ 5.1
Baghdatis has plummeted down the rankings and Monaco has some form, but he is possibly overrated with these odds and Baghdatis won't go out of this tournament easily. I think this could be either way but the stats and odds suggest that along with other bets, Baghdatis is a good price here. Baghdatis to win.
Bobby REYNOLDS v Gael MONFILS Monfils WIN @ 1.17
Fantastic price for Monfils. Reynolds is an out of form player whose only chance here would be if he served excellently, and that is far from probable. Monfils to win.
Sergiy STAKHOVSKY v Brian DABUL No bet
Stakhovsky and Dabul are not two players you would want to predict a result on when the stats are not there to give any room for analysis. Dabul is probably the better player, but not worth a bet.
Philipp KOHLSCHREIBER v Bernard TOMIC Kohlschreiber WIN @ 1.07
Kohlschreiber has played himself into form and his odds suggest he should win this easily.
Evgeny KOROLEV v Daniel GIMENO-TRAVER No bet
I think Korolev will probably win this, but he can play some really poor matches and can't be guaranteed. I cannot advise a bet on this match.
Juan Carlos FERRERO v Ivan LJUBICIC Ferrero WIN @ 2.3
Ferrero is playing a Ljubicic who has improved on clay courts, but with these odds and the stats to back them up, Ferrero to win is the choice.
Nicolas LAPENTTI v Novak DJOKOVIC Djokovic WIN @ 1.03
Novak Djokovic has the potential to go far at this tournament, and it's extremely unlikely he will slip up in the first round. Lapentti may have his card so it could possibly be tricky but I suspect Djokovic will win this eventually.
Tommy ROBREDO v Adrian MANNARINO Robredo WIN @ 1.06
Yet another match that has been touted as a potential surprise result. I don't think so. Robredo has the nouse to win this easily and I think he will. Robredo to win.
Maximo GONZALEZ v Mardy FISH No bet
A no bet here, I think Fish should not be at the odds he is, but with those come stats that don't allow a bet on this.
Guillermo GARCIA-LOPEZ v Andreas SEPPI Seppi WIN @ 1.57
This is a risky bet for me. Andreas Seppi had some form recently but so does his opponent. Over a five set match I have to go for Seppi here. He will return more of Garcia-Lopez's serves than a lot of players, and added to the fact that a lot of 1.5s have lost this week, I am selecting Seppi to break that trend and win here.
Dmitri TURSUNOV v Arnaud CLEMENT No bet
A lot will depend on Tursunov's ability to avoid unforced errors in this match, if he does that he could provide a challenge. I don't think he will though, and I suspect Clement should win this. No bet though, too unpredictable.
Julien BENNETEAU v Jo-Wilfried TSONGA Benneteau WIN @ 3.0
Julien Benneteau could provide the shock result today. Tsonga is not priced at these odds because of his clay court form and Benneteau comes into the tournament in a bit of form. One top ten player is almost always defeated in the first round, and my prediction is that it will be Tsonga. Benneteau to win.
Andrei PAVEL v Tommy HAAS Haas WIN @ 1.08
Andrei Pavel is not a player to be underestimated, particularly against a Tommy Haas whose A game is becoming more fleeting by the tournament. However, Haas should win this, although I wouldn't put money on the easy victory. Haas to win.
Fabrice SANTORO v Christophe ROCHUS Rochus WIN @ 2.22
Normally I would avoid betting against Santoro, but Rochus has the game to counteract him. The stats suggest a bet on Rochus is advisable.
James BLAKE v Leonardo MAYER Mayer WIN @ 4.6
Blake can play on clay but he is up against an improving player here. As with most French Opens one or two players make their name with a good tournament here and Mayer could be one of those this year. Or he could lose 3-0. But with these odds he is worth a shot. Mayer to win.

French Open 1st Round, Monday results

2009-05-25T21:38:00.005+01:00

Did I make a profit with my recommendations for Monday's matches? Yes I did.

WON Nicolas KIEFER v Ilia BOZOLJAC Lay Bozoljac 3-2 @ 11.0 (+1)
WON Victor HANESCU v Steve DARCIS Lay Darcis 3-0 @ 14.0 (+0.77)
WON Potito STARACE v Mischa ZVEREV Starace WIN @ 2.0 (+10)
WON Stanislas WAWRINKA v Nicolas DEVILDER Wawrinka WIN @ 1.07 (+0.7)
WON Nikolay DAVYDENKO v Stefan KOUBEK Davydenko win @ 1.11 (+1.1)
WON Robin SODERLING v Kevin KIM Soderling win @ 1.05 (+0.5)
WON Fernando GONZALEZ v Jiri VANEK Gonzalez win @ 1.05 (+0.5)
WON Rafael NADAL v Marcos DANIEL Nadal win @ 1.01 (+0.1)
LOST Rui MACHADO v Kristof VLIEGEN Vliegen win @ 2.16 (-10)
WON Diego JUNQUEIRA v Paul CAPDEVILLE Junqueira WIN @ 2.02 (+10.2)
WON Igor KUNITSYN v Teimuraz GABASHVILI Gabashvili WIN @ 2.16 (+11.6)
WON Janko TIPSAREVIC v Albert MONTANES Tipsarevic WIN @ 2.16 (+11.6)
WON Alberto MARTIN v Roger FEDERER Federer 3-0 @ 1.23 (+2.3)
LOST Guillarme RUFIN v Eduardo SCHWANK Schwank WIN @ 1.17 (-10)
WON Jurgen MELZER v Sergio ROITMAN Lay Roitman 3-0 @ 17.0 (+0.63)
WON Robby GINEPRI v Pablo ANDUJAR Andujar WIN @ 2.1 (+11)
LOST Tomas BELLUCCI v Martin V-ARGUELLO Bellucci WIN @ 2.12 (-10)
LOST Oscar HERNANDEZ v Ivo MINAR Hernandez WIN @ 1.44 (-10)
WON Andy RODDICK v Romain JOUAN Roddick WIN @ 1.05 (+0.5)

Total profit on £10 stake on each bet = £21.92

French Open 1st Round, Monday

2009-05-25T10:36:00.005+01:00

Here are my predictions, using stats of course, for the French Open first round matches today. I am cautious of player injuries today.

Nicolas KIEFER v Ilia BOZOLJAC Lay Bozoljac 3-2 @ 11.0
Nicolas Kiefer's fitness cannot be relied on and while I think he will win this match, and the stats support that, I have to resort to set betting on this. The stats suggest Bozoljac, if he wins, will not win 3-2 and therefore I opt for a lay of 3-2 at 11.0

Santiago GIRALDO v Denis ISTOMIN No bet
Giraldo is the better clay court player but the odds don't give anything away and Istomin is too unpredictable to take anything but a guess at this. A match to be avoided.

Victor HANESCU v Steve DARCIS Lay Darcis 3-0 @ 14.0
Darcis is unlikely to be able to compete with an experienced player like Hanescu, but again I am not sure either player is in the best shape. Set betting again and a lay of Darcis 3-0 at 14.0

Mikhail YOUZHNY v Gilles MULLER No bet
Youzhny isn't a player to put a lot of money on, even though he is likely to dominate Muller, who is majorly reliant on his serve, so I would not advise betting on this match.

Potito STARACE v Mischa ZVEREV Starace WIN @ 2.0
One of my choices of the day. Can't really see how Zverev is the favourite in this match and Starace has a good clay court record. As the slight non-favourite I would have to choose the Italian to win this match. Starace to win @ 2.0.

Stanislas WAWRINKA v Nicolas DEVILDER Wawrinka WIN @ 1.07
Wawrinka is allegedly one of the form players entering this Grand Slam. I am not so convinced and I think his victory over Federer swayed people a little too much. I have seen too many occasions when he has lost what seemed to be heading for an easy victory. But then today his opponent is Devilder, who seems only capable of performing in South America and and whilst he may be French, he is unlikely to trouble the Swiss player today. Wawrinka to win @ 1.07.

Nicolas MASSU v Daniel KOELLERER No bet
The odds would suggest Massu, but his form is so poor that combined with Koellerer's tenacity and improvement this year, this match is definitely not one to bet on.

Nikolay DAVYDENKO v Stefan KOUBEK Davydenko win @ 1.11
Davydenko's odds have dropped and as such make him a player I would now construe as within the safe zone. He should win this. I don't think Koubek has either the ability or energy to match Davydenko on these courts. A word of caution though, Davydenko is one of the most frequent retirers on the tour and it may be worth laying off if he takes a set lead. I don't think he'll retire today but with him, you never know. Davydenko to win @ 1.11.

Robin SODERLING v Kevin KIM Soderling win @ 1.05
Yet another player with a dodgy fitness history, if he is not injured, Soderling will win against this American pretender, most probably 3-0. Soderling to win @ 1.05.

Fernando GONZALEZ v Jiri VANEK Gonzalez win @ 1.05
Whilst Vanek may be capable in the minor tournaments on clay, against a top player such as Gonzalez on this stage, I think he may struggle. No guarantee of 3-0 and so I opt for Gonzalez to win @ 1.05.

Franco FERREIRO v Feliciano LOPEZ No bet
Franco Ferreiro wouldn't win against many opponents, but someone like Lopez whose game can plummet without his serve should not be recommended. No bet on this.

Rafael NADAL v Marcos DANIEL Nadal win @ 1.01
Unsure of this match. Set betting that is, Nadal 3-0 should be bigger than 1.1, despite his record at this tournament. Nadal's form on clay this year has not been as convincing as in previous years coming into this tournament. He will win at 1.01.

Rui MACHADO v Kristof VLIEGEN Vliegen win @ 2.16
Machado is a potential threat on this surface, but I think Vliegen will have the quality to win this. The stats suggest he is worth a bet at 2.16

Diego JUNQUEIRA v Paul CAPDEVILLE Junqueira WIN @ 2.02
Capdeville is one of the least reliable players on the tour. This match is unlikely to be an easy win for either player, but Capdeville is at risk here. Junqueira to win at 2.02.

Igor KUNITSYN v Teimuraz GABASHVILI Gabashvili WIN @ 2.16
Kunitsyn is one of those players who begins matches well, then, when he is about to win, doesn't. Gabashvili is a prominent player when outside the main events and I feel that, without any other influences, this match could be won by him. Gabashvili @ 2.16.

Janko TIPSAREVIC v Albert MONTANES Tipsarevic WIN @ 2.16
Tipsarevic has shown form immediately before the start of this tournament and that has to be a concern for the improved Montanes. The stats suggest Tipsarevic @ 2.16.

Paul-Henri MATHIEU v Laurent RECOUDERC No bet
Mathieu is unconvincing and can make any match turn into a horror show. Recouderc will be up for this match, although I am unconvinced by his ability. Frenchman + Frenchman = no bet.

Jose ACASUSO v Santiago VENTURA No bet
Another no bet for this match, Ventura has ability but again his successes come in patches, and there is no guarantee he is heading into one at the moment. Acasuso is not prolific on clay either. The stats are not showing anything for this. No bet.

Alberto MARTIN v Roger FEDERER Federer 3-0 @ 1.23
Presumably Martin's clay court pedigree has boosted Federer's set betting odds to ridiculous proportions. Unfortunately for him, his pedigree is masked by his lack of fitness and against Federer this seems an easy 3-0 win for the Swiss player. Federer to win 3-0 at 1.23.

Bjorn PHAU v Jeremy CHARDY No bet
Chardy has been out of form, and whilst he may have had good spells last year, and he is French, this tournament could be poor for him in comparison to last year. The odds don't shout Chardy win, even though Phau seems unlikely. No bet.

Guillarme RUFIN v Eduardo SCHWANK Schwank WIN @ 1.17
Not convinced by the chances of outside Rufin here, and I feel he is one to avoid. Last year Schwank entered this tournament on the back of an excellent run, this year less so. He should win however at 1.17.

Jurgen MELZER v Sergio ROITMAN Lay Roitman 3-0 @ 17.0
Not convinced by Melzer's fitness or clay court ability and Roitman is a dangerous player. He could win this, but I doubt it will be 3-0 and so a lay of that is the choice.

Robby GINEPRI v Pablo ANDUJAR Andujar WIN @ 2.1
Andujar wouldn't be the first player I would opt for to win at these odds, but against Ginepri, who is generally awful outside the USA, the odds and stats say Andujar at 2.1.

Simone BOLELLI v Tomas BERDYCH No bet
Berdych has the clay court ability, but seems unable to deliver when it counts and Bolelli has a chance of winning this today. No bet.

Tomas BELLUCCI v Martin VASSALLO-ARGUELLO Bellucci WIN @ 2.12
Bellucci should have a good chance against Vassallo-Arguello, who seems incapable of winning easily and isn't always focused on his tennis. Bellucci has the opportunity to do well at this tournament and as the non-favourite he must be chosen to take that chance. Bellucci to win at 2.12.

Fabio FOGNINI v Igor ANDREEV No bet
The stats say a lay of Andreev but his odds are borderline between 1.5 and 1.6 and as such they don't state the lay strongly enough. Fognini is temperamental to say the least and I cannot suggest a bet against Andreev on these courts at these odds. No bet.

Oscar HERNANDEZ v Ivo MINAR Hernandez WIN @ 1.44
Hernandez should have the ability to win this against Minar. Hernandez' form has been improved, Minar has a minor threat here, but I think Hernandez should win 3-0 or 3-1. Hernandez win at 1.44.

Andy RODDICK v Romain JOUAN Roddick WIN @ 1.05
Andy Roddick, who would bet on him at the French Open. Numerous early round defeats, a dislike for clay-courts, and yet today, I am betting on him. Jouan can't outsee Roddick over 5 sets, and the odds state Roddick easy win. I am not sure how easy but he should win at 1.05.

Results of French Open first round predictions

2009-05-24T19:37:00.005+01:00

How did the first round predictions get on today?

WON Lleyton HEWITT v Ivo KARLOVIC Lay Karlovic 3-2 @ 7.0 (+1.67)
WON Florent SERRA (FRA) v Fernando VERDASCO Verdasco WIN @ 1.1 (+1)
LOST Denis GREMELMAYR v Andrey GOLUBEV Gremelmayr WIN @ 2.1 (-10)
WON Dudi SELA v Jean Rene LISNARD (FRA) Sela WIN @ 2.26 (+12.6)
WON Alexandre SIDORENKO (FRA) v Marat SAFIN Safin WIN @ 1.23 (+2.3)
WON Jan HERNYCH v Marin CILIC Cilic WIN @ 1.2 (+2)
VOID Yen-Hsun LU v Mathieu MONTCOURT (FRA) Lay 3-2 LU @ 9.0
WON Peter POLANSKY v Philipp PETZSCHNER Lay Polansky 3-0 @ 5.1 (+2.4)
WON Wayne ODESNIK v Gilles SIMON (FRA) Simon WIN @ 1.2 (+2)
WON Nicolas ALMAGRO v Agustin CALLERI Lay Almagro 3-2 @ 7.0 (+1.67)
WON Andy MURRAY v Juan Ignacio CHELA Lay Chela 3-0 @ 27.0 (+0.38)
LOST Ernests GULBIS v Sam QUERREY Querrey WIN @2.1 (-10)
WON Frederico GIL v David FERRER Lay Gil 3-1 @ 17.0 (+0.63)
WON Daniel BRANDS v Robert KENDRICK Lay Brands 3-2 @ 7.0 (+1.67)

Total profit on £10 stake on each bet = £8.32

French Open 1st Round matches

2009-05-24T09:56:00.007+01:00

So, this was the time last year that I really started to build some major profit with my sports betting. The question is, can I do that again?

I am kicking it off with the French Open and some reasonably focused statistical analysis. For those of you who are interested in sports statistics this could make interesting reading.

All of my analysis on men's tennis is based on the previous four years tournaments, often just from the round of matches to which it refers.

I'll start with posting some information on the set patterns within the French Open.

Where F = Favourite and NF = Non-Favourite, these are the number of times a particular set pattern has occured in the first round of this tournament.

114 F-F-F
23 NF-F-F-F
19 NF-NF-NF
17 F-F-NF-F
15 F-NF-F-F
7 F-NF-NF-NF
7 F-F-NF-NF-F
5 NF-NF-F-NF
4 NF-F-NF-NF
4 NF-F-F-NF-F
4 F-NF-NF-F-NF
4 F-NF-F-NF-NF
4 F-F-NF-NF-NF
4 NF-F-NF-F-NF
3 F-NF-NF-F-F
3 NF-F-F-NF-NF
2 F-NF-F-NF-F
2 NF-NF-F-F-F
2 NF-NF-F-F-NF
1 NF-F-NF-F-F

114 3-0 F
55 3-1 F
19 3-2 F
19 3-0 NF
16 3-1 NF
21 3-2 NF

Obviously, across the board you can't apply this to particular matches, but it is worth noting these patterns as you can potentially calculate the probability of a player winning the match from a particular stage, say two sets ahead when they started the match as favourite. It is interesting to see that while most bookies will offer you bigger odds on 3-2 to the non-favourite than 3-1, the reverse should be offered based on the statistics.

To get more analytical, it is necessary to compare set results to particular match odds. Using the odds from Bet365, here are the numbers in terms of set scores, alongside the odds for the favourite. The order of these numbers is 3-0F/3-1F/3-2F/3-0NF/3-1NF/3-2NF/Ret.

1.01 9/1/0/0/0/0/0
1.02 6/1/0/0/0/0/0
1.03 4/1/2/0/0/0/0
1.04 1/1/0/0/0/0/0
1.05 0/1/0/0/0/0/0
1.06 7/0/0/0/0/0/0
1.07 4/3/0/0/0/0/1
1.08 5/2/0/0/0/0/0
1.10 1/3/0/0/0/0/1
1.11 7/2/0/0/0/0/1
1.12 4/1/1/0/1/1/0
1.14 6/2/2/0/0/0/0
1.16 1/0/1/1/0/1/0
1.19 0/1/0/0/0/1/0
1.20 1/1/1/0/0/1/0
1.22 6/2/1/0/1/1/0
1.25 5/1/0/1/0/1/0
1.28 7/1/0/2/0/1/1
1.30 1/3/0/0/0/0/0
1.33 3/2/1/1/1/1/0
1.36 5/3/1/0/3/1/1
1.38 1/0/0/0/0/0/0
1.39 1/1/1/1/0/0/1
1.40 0/0/1/1/0/1/0
1.44 7/1/1/1/2/2/0
1.50 3/3/0/1/1/0/1
1.53 3/2/0/1/1/1/0
1.57 5/5/2/1/0/1/1
1.61 1/2/0/2/1/1/1
1.66 4/2/1/2/0/2/0
1.72 4/3/2/0/1/3/0
1.8+ 0/5/1/4/4/1/3

For this period of matches, there have been no favourites at less than 1.12 that have lost. Three of them have retired. A favourite at 1.01 should be 1.10 or less to win the set in straight sets. A favourite at 1.8+ hasn't won the set 3-0, and in fact, has lost more times than has won. So these are statistics I shall use when betting.

No player ranked greater than 400 has won in this period. There are two of them in the first round of this tournament and they should be avoided.

One of the worlds top 10 loses almost every year in the first round.

Here are my predictions for the first batch of matches - and the reasons for them.

Lleyton HEWITT v Ivo KARLOVIC Lay Karlovic 3-2 @ 7.0
Hewitt is at 1.5s. The stats match the odds for the chances of him winning, and whilst he is not great on clay courts, his record recently is 20-8 whereas the improved Karlovic has lost more than he has won. The Croatian does have a good record against Hewitt, 2-0 in four years. Hewitt has a good return of serve but his own serve will give Karlovic chances. This game is based almost entirely on Karlovic's serve, but it won't go to 3-2 and the stats don't support that either.

Florent SERRA (FRA) v Fernando VERDASCO Verdasco WIN @ 1.1
Potentially risky for the Spaniard, but Serra, with a 49% record on clay courts, isn't the most likely French winner in this round. Verdasco's form and multi-surface ability will see him win this match easily. I'm not sure it will be 3-0, but he shouldn't have too many problems.

Marcel GRANOLLERS v Josselin OUANNA (FRA) No bet
Ouanna on the other hand, is a potentially dangerous player against another Spaniard who has less form and definitely is superior on hard courts. Ouanna is reasonably ranked to pull a surprise victory here and with Granollers at 1.57, the bookies are hesitant about his chances. My recommendation would not the Ouanna win however. He has lost all of his matches on clay on the ATP tour in the last four years. No bet.

Denis GREMELMAYR v Andrey GOLUBEV Gremelmayr WIN @ 2.1
Here is a match in which the favourite is incorrectly priced. Golubev hasn't played a competitive match on clay at this level, Gremelmayr has a 12-10 record. There are two potential bets here, you could lay the 3-0 Gremelmayr, risky, but most likely successful. But I would opt for the win for Gremelmayr @ 2.1.

Dudi SELA v Jean Rene LISNARD (FRA) Sela WIN @ 2.26
Jean Rene Lisnard is French but that doesn't make him a world beater. Dudi Sela has enough ability to see of this French pretender. In fact, with Lisnard at 1.83, I think the only option in this match is a Sela win @ 2.26.

Alexandre SIDORENKO (FRA) v Marat SAFIN Safin WIN @ 1.23
Marat Safin has a reasonable record on clay and against this wild-card he should win. May not be the easiest win, but I would bet on him. Safin to win at 1.22.

Jan HERNYCH v Marin CILIC Cilic WIN @ 1.2
Neither of these players has a great clay court record, but Cilic is the form player and that is reflected in his odds. I'm not sure this will be straight sets, but the recommendation is simple. Cilic to win @ 1.2.

Yen-Hsun LU v Mathieu MONTCOURT (FRA) Lay 3-2 LU @ 9.0
An almost impossible match to call. Lu, who has injury problems, the better player against an opponent who elsewhere he may beat easily. The only option here is to use the stats cautiously with a minor lay of 3-2 Lu.

Peter POLANSKY v Philipp PETZSCHNER Lay Polansky 3-0 @ 5.1
Odds on this match have switched. Petzschner was the bookie's favourite. Petzschner is a player who pulls off wins when you least expect him to. Today he has a chance to win against a player he should beat easily and I doubt it will be that simple. In fact he may lose. This is a lay of Polansky 3-0 at 5.1.

Wayne ODESNIK v Gilles SIMON (FRA) Simon WIN @ 1.2
Yet another 1.2 shot, but this time for a French player who is in form. Bookies continue to be undecided on Simon, and on this occasion perhaps correctly. Odesnik has a 10-4 record on clay in four years, albeit mostly on American clay. He is 3-2 on European clay courts however. Simon has a 50-30 record on clay, so added to his nationality, this is likely to stand him in a good position to win the match. An obvious bet. Simon to win @ 1.2.

Radek STEPANEK v Gaston GAUDIO No bet
With Gaudio's record at this tournament, Stepanek becomes a doubt, particularly at this odds. But Gaudio's record has recently been atrocious and Stepanek should surely be able to defeat him. Most factors are in Stepanek's favour, but I don't like the odds here. I would have placed him at 1.3s at least. This is a no bet.

Nicolas ALMAGRO v Agustin CALLERI Lay Almagro 3-2 @ 7.0
Almagro is apparently the best clay courter in the world other than Nadal. I heard that before on a news channel. Personally I would have chosen Federer but maybe his stats would stand up to that. 94-51. Federer, without checking is something like 69-13. So maybe that news channel need to do some more research. Almagro should outplay Calleri here, the Argentine has injury concerns and I can't see anything but a win for Almagro. 3-0 or 3-1 but certainly not 3-2 and so a lay of Almagro 3-2 @ 7.0 is the bet.

Andy MURRAY v Juan Ignacio CHELA Lay Chela 3-0 @ 27.0
Not the ideal match for Murray against someone with ability on clay. Murray is potentially the biggest risk of the world's top ten in this round. 1.13 puts him just outside the safe zone and so the only option is to look at the set betting. Lay Chela 3-0 @ 27.0.

Ernests GULBIS v Sam QUERREY Querrey WIN @2.1
Sam Querrey has been showing form on clay, which is unusual for a power-serving American. Gulbis has been in atrocious form, and while he may be defending ranking points from a successful tournament last year, his odds at 1.83 are reasonable. I am not sure who will win this, but as with most 1.8+ favourites, I will select their opponent. Querrey to win @ 2.1.

Frederico GIL v David FERRER Lay Gil 3-1 @ 17.0
Strangely, Ferrer is not in the safe zone either. The bookies are showing signs that they rate Gil quite highly. He's fine, but he's not a world beater and I think Ferrer will win. But as with other players at these odds he's outside of the safe zone and can't be risked. So, the set betting again. Lay Gil 3-1 @ 17.0.

Daniel BRANDS v Robert KENDRICK Lay Brands 3-2 @ 7.0
Not really the easiest match to predict based on player knowledge. Kendrick of course is reliant on his serve and I think that will fail him on this occasion. Brands is correctly priced at 1.5, the odds give nothing away compared to the stats, so my bet is a lay of Brands 3-2 @ 7.0.

Note these are my recommended bets. I generally bet in-play using stats, so I will post all of my betting results on here for each day to show the profit I have made.